Aaron Rai's commanding final-round 65 at Aronimink Golf Club propelled him to victory in the 2026 PGA Championship, establishing him as the clear consensus winner in the market. The English golfer surged ahead of the field with birdies on key holes and held off challengers like Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy to become the first from his country to claim the title since 1919. Recent form, precise iron play, and steady putting on a firm layout drove the decisive separation, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in the implied probability. While a late disqualification, rules controversy, or scoring error could theoretically alter the outcome, official results confirm Rai's win and leave little realistic room for shifts in the resolved market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAaron Rai 100.0%
Scottie Scheffler <1%
Rory McIlroy <1%
Cameron Young <1%
$8,832,631 Vol.
$8,832,631 Vol.
May 18, 2026
Aaron Rai
100%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Rory McIlroy
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Jon Rahm
<1%
Xander Schauffele
<1%
Ludvig Aberg
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Alex Smalley
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Justin Rose
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Matti Schmid
<1%
Aaron Rai 100.0%
Scottie Scheffler <1%
Rory McIlroy <1%
Cameron Young <1%
$8,832,631 Vol.
$8,832,631 Vol.
May 18, 2026
Aaron Rai
$344,873 Vol.
100%
Scottie Scheffler
$758,511 Vol.
<1%
Rory McIlroy
$841,751 Vol.
<1%
Cameron Young
$297,106 Vol.
<1%
Jon Rahm
$784,862 Vol.
<1%
Xander Schauffele
$509,558 Vol.
<1%
Ludvig Aberg
$308,539 Vol.
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
$163,836 Vol.
<1%
Justin Thomas
$185,512 Vol.
<1%
Brooks Koepka
$126,927 Vol.
<1%
Sam Burns
$55,602 Vol.
<1%
Chris Gotterup
$126,313 Vol.
<1%
Jordan Spieth
$92,753 Vol.
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
$135,706 Vol.
<1%
Maverick McNealy
$85,949 Vol.
<1%
Alex Smalley
$413,765 Vol.
<1%
Cameron Smith
$146,375 Vol.
<1%
Andrew Novak
$935 Vol.
<1%
Andrew Putnam
$5,544 Vol.
<1%
Min Woo Lee
$164,791 Vol.
<1%
Justin Rose
$177,264 Vol.
<1%
Rickie Fowler
$88,039 Vol.
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
$66,525 Vol.
<1%
Si Woo Kim
$61,267 Vol.
<1%
Patrick Reed
$179,933 Vol.
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
$163,763 Vol.
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
$132,700 Vol.
<1%
Harris English
$59,500 Vol.
<1%
Ben Griffin
$53,171 Vol.
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
$80,009 Vol.
<1%
David Puig
$58,385 Vol.
<1%
Brian Harman
$3,816 Vol.
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
$103,305 Vol.
<1%
Nick Taylor
$241,580 Vol.
<1%
Bud Cauley
$42,600 Vol.
<1%
Dustin Johnson
$21,736 Vol.
<1%
Matti Schmid
$277,045 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Rai's commanding final-round 65 at Aronimink Golf Club propelled him to victory in the 2026 PGA Championship, establishing him as the clear consensus winner in the market. The English golfer surged ahead of the field with birdies on key holes and held off challengers like Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy to become the first from his country to claim the title since 1919. Recent form, precise iron play, and steady putting on a firm layout drove the decisive separation, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in the implied probability. While a late disqualification, rules controversy, or scoring error could theoretically alter the outcome, official results confirm Rai's win and leave little realistic room for shifts in the resolved market.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Volume
$8,832,631End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Rai's commanding final-round 65 at Aronimink Golf Club propelled him to victory in the 2026 PGA Championship, establishing him as the clear consensus winner in the market. The English golfer surged ahead of the field with birdies on key holes and held off challengers like Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy to become the first from his country to claim the title since 1919. Recent form, precise iron play, and steady putting on a firm layout drove the decisive separation, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in the implied probability. While a late disqualification, rules controversy, or scoring error could theoretically alter the outcome, official results confirm Rai's win and leave little realistic room for shifts in the resolved market.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,832,631End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Rai's commanding final-round 65 at Aronimink Golf Club propelled him to victory in the 2026 PGA Championship, establishing him as the clear consensus winner in the market. The English golfer surged ahead of the field with birdies on key holes and held off challengers like Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy to become the first from his country to claim the title since 1919. Recent form, precise iron play, and steady putting on a firm layout drove the decisive separation, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in the implied probability. While a late disqualification, rules controversy, or scoring error could theoretically alter the outcome, official results confirm Rai's win and leave little realistic room for shifts in the resolved market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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