The market reflects overwhelming trader consensus on Aaron Rai capturing the 2026 PGA Championship, driven by his recent strong form on PGA Tour events and favorable course history at major venues. This positioning highlights his consistent ball-striking and putting under pressure, outpacing established names like Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy who sit at minimal implied probabilities. Golf's inherent variability still allows for potential shifts from late injuries, adverse weather affecting play, or unexpected surges by lower-odds contenders during the final rounds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAaron Rai 100.0%
Scottie Scheffler <1%
Rory McIlroy <1%
Cameron Young <1%
$8,858,251 Vol.
$8,858,251 Vol.
May 18, 2026
Aaron Rai
100%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Rory McIlroy
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Jon Rahm
<1%
Xander Schauffele
<1%
Ludvig Aberg
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Alex Smalley
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Justin Rose
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Matti Schmid
<1%
Aaron Rai 100.0%
Scottie Scheffler <1%
Rory McIlroy <1%
Cameron Young <1%
$8,858,251 Vol.
$8,858,251 Vol.
May 18, 2026
Aaron Rai
$345,231 Vol.
100%
Scottie Scheffler
$758,511 Vol.
<1%
Rory McIlroy
$841,858 Vol.
<1%
Cameron Young
$297,106 Vol.
<1%
Jon Rahm
$784,862 Vol.
<1%
Xander Schauffele
$509,558 Vol.
<1%
Ludvig Aberg
$308,550 Vol.
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
$163,836 Vol.
<1%
Justin Thomas
$185,512 Vol.
<1%
Brooks Koepka
$126,927 Vol.
<1%
Sam Burns
$55,602 Vol.
<1%
Chris Gotterup
$126,313 Vol.
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
$135,706 Vol.
<1%
Maverick McNealy
$85,949 Vol.
<1%
Alex Smalley
$414,796 Vol.
<1%
Cameron Smith
$147,406 Vol.
<1%
Andrew Novak
$1,966 Vol.
<1%
Andrew Putnam
$6,575 Vol.
<1%
Min Woo Lee
$165,822 Vol.
<1%
Justin Rose
$178,295 Vol.
<1%
Rickie Fowler
$89,070 Vol.
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
$67,556 Vol.
<1%
Si Woo Kim
$62,298 Vol.
<1%
Patrick Reed
$179,933 Vol.
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
$164,794 Vol.
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
$133,731 Vol.
<1%
Harris English
$60,530 Vol.
<1%
Ben Griffin
$54,202 Vol.
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
$81,040 Vol.
<1%
David Puig
$58,385 Vol.
<1%
Brian Harman
$3,816 Vol.
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
$103,305 Vol.
<1%
Nick Taylor
$241,580 Vol.
<1%
Bud Cauley
$42,600 Vol.
<1%
Dustin Johnson
$21,736 Vol.
<1%
Matti Schmid
$277,442 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market reflects overwhelming trader consensus on Aaron Rai capturing the 2026 PGA Championship, driven by his recent strong form on PGA Tour events and favorable course history at major venues. This positioning highlights his consistent ball-striking and putting under pressure, outpacing established names like Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy who sit at minimal implied probabilities. Golf's inherent variability still allows for potential shifts from late injuries, adverse weather affecting play, or unexpected surges by lower-odds contenders during the final rounds.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Volume
$8,858,251End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market reflects overwhelming trader consensus on Aaron Rai capturing the 2026 PGA Championship, driven by his recent strong form on PGA Tour events and favorable course history at major venues. This positioning highlights his consistent ball-striking and putting under pressure, outpacing established names like Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy who sit at minimal implied probabilities. Golf's inherent variability still allows for potential shifts from late injuries, adverse weather affecting play, or unexpected surges by lower-odds contenders during the final rounds.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,858,251End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market reflects overwhelming trader consensus on Aaron Rai capturing the 2026 PGA Championship, driven by his recent strong form on PGA Tour events and favorable course history at major venues. This positioning highlights his consistent ball-striking and putting under pressure, outpacing established names like Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy who sit at minimal implied probabilities. Golf's inherent variability still allows for potential shifts from late injuries, adverse weather affecting play, or unexpected surges by lower-odds contenders during the final rounds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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