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Sports·PGA

2026 PGA Championship Winner

icon for 2026 PGA Championship Winner
Sports·PGA

2026 PGA Championship Winner

Alex Smalley 17.1%

Jon Rahm 14.8%

Ludvig Aberg 14.4%

Rory McIlroy 12.4%

Polymarket

$5,835,654 Vol.

Alex Smalley 17.1%

Jon Rahm 14.8%

Ludvig Aberg 14.4%

Rory McIlroy 12.4%

Polymarket

$5,835,654 Vol.

Alex Smalley

$188,093 Vol.

17%

Jon Rahm

$247,178 Vol.

15%

Ludvig Aberg

$149,392 Vol.

14%

Rory McIlroy

$415,660 Vol.

12%

Xander Schauffele

$361,970 Vol.

7%

Scottie Scheffler

$607,805 Vol.

5%

Nick Taylor

$126,932 Vol.

4%

Aaron Rai

$63,440 Vol.

4%

Patrick Reed

$89,050 Vol.

3%

Maverick McNealy

$70,977 Vol.

3%

Matti Schmid

$76,482 Vol.

3%

Chris Gotterup

$90,044 Vol.

2%

Justin Rose

$120,865 Vol.

2%

Min Woo Lee

$156,704 Vol.

2%

Hideki Matsuyama

$115,138 Vol.

2%

Kristoffer Reitan

$112,667 Vol.

2%

Joaquin Niemann

$53,083 Vol.

1%

Brooks Koepka

$117,113 Vol.

1%

Ben Griffin

$44,518 Vol.

1%

Cameron Young

$286,352 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$54,549 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$52,908 Vol.

1%

Rickie Fowler

$84,789 Vol.

1%

David Puig

$56,612 Vol.

1%

Bud Cauley

$41,520 Vol.

1%

Haotong Li

$102,177 Vol.

<1%

Brian Harman

$2,281 Vol.

<1%

Justin Thomas

$100,598 Vol.

<1%

Si Woo Kim

$55,409 Vol.

<1%

Harris English

$51,027 Vol.

<1%

Jordan Spieth

$88,951 Vol.

<1%

Kurt Kitayama

$121,570 Vol.

<1%

Alex Fitzpatrick

$52,789 Vol.

<1%

Andrew Novak

$621 Vol.

<1%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$64,525 Vol.

<1%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$136,443 Vol.

<1%

Patrick Cantlay

$72,782 Vol.

<1%

Collin Morikawa

$210,723 Vol.

<1%

Shane Lowry

$74,556 Vol.

<1%

Alex Noren

$4,596 Vol.

<1%

Corey Conners

$45,221 Vol.

<1%

Sam Stevens

$39,906 Vol.

<1%

Sahith Theegala

$54,523 Vol.

<1%

Michael Brennan

$14,720 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Fox

$6,101 Vol.

<1%

Ryo Hisatsune

$48,170 Vol.

<1%

John Keefer

$1,305 Vol.

<1%

Andrew Putnam

$3,544 Vol.

<1%

Sami Valimaki

$1,835 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Brown

$8,963 Vol.

<1%

Jason Day

$48,241 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$1,848 Vol.

<1%

Aldrich Potgieter

$101,185 Vol.

<1%

Matt Wallace

$1,165 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Berger

$26,588 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Gerard

$21,069 Vol.

<1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$10,945 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$21,736 Vol.

<1%

Keith Mitchell

$1,956 Vol.

<1%

Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen

$4,146 Vol.

<1%

John Parry

$877 Vol.

<1%

Elvis Smylie

$1,740 Vol.

<1%

Christiaan Bezuidenhout

$3,367 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026. If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 PGA Championship winner market reflects a tightly bunched group of contenders driven by current form and major-championship pedigree. Alex Smalley holds the top implied probability after consistent PGA Tour results that have elevated his world ranking, while Jon Rahm and Ludvig Åberg sit close behind thanks to proven ball-striking and prior major contention. Rory McIlroy’s positioning incorporates his extensive PGA history and recent competitive rounds despite fluctuating results this season. The narrow gap among the leaders underscores the depth of the field, where course setup, weather variables, and last-minute fitness updates can quickly alter trajectories in this individual major. Trader consensus continues to weigh recent finishes and historical performance against the inherent unpredictability of a four-round test.

This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.

If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,835,654
End Date
May 18, 2026
Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026. If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026. If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 PGA Championship winner market reflects a tightly bunched group of contenders driven by current form and major-championship pedigree. Alex Smalley holds the top implied probability after consistent PGA Tour results that have elevated his world ranking, while Jon Rahm and Ludvig Åberg sit close behind thanks to proven ball-striking and prior major contention. Rory McIlroy’s positioning incorporates his extensive PGA history and recent competitive rounds despite fluctuating results this season. The narrow gap among the leaders underscores the depth of the field, where course setup, weather variables, and last-minute fitness updates can quickly alter trajectories in this individual major. Trader consensus continues to weigh recent finishes and historical performance against the inherent unpredictability of a four-round test.

This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.

If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,835,654
End Date
May 18, 2026
Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026. If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 PGA Championship Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 99+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alex Smalley" at 17%, followed by "Jon Rahm" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 PGA Championship Winner " has generated $5.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 PGA Championship Winner ," browse the 99+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 PGA Championship Winner " is "Alex Smalley" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jon Rahm" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 PGA Championship Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.