Alex Smalley enters the final round of the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club with a two-shot lead after carding a third-round 68, positioning him as the consensus favorite among traders. Jon Rahm, Ludvig Åberg, and Rory McIlroy sit just behind in a crowded leaderboard that has featured 13 different leaders at various points, reflecting strong ball-striking and wedge play from the chase group. Scottie Scheffler has dropped back after a disappointing round, while Xander Schauffele and others remain within range on a demanding layout. The bunched probabilities underscore the event’s volatility, where final-round scoring, course management, and momentum shifts among top contenders continue to shape the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlex Smalley 17.1%
Jon Rahm 14.7%
Ludvig Aberg 13.7%
Rory McIlroy 12.0%
$5,708,931 Vol.
$5,708,931 Vol.
May 18, 2026
Alex Smalley
17%
Jon Rahm
15%
Ludvig Aberg
14%
Rory McIlroy
12%
Xander Schauffele
7%
Nick Taylor
5%
Scottie Scheffler
5%
Aaron Rai
4%
Patrick Reed
3%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
David Puig
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Alex Smalley 17.1%
Jon Rahm 14.7%
Ludvig Aberg 13.7%
Rory McIlroy 12.0%
$5,708,931 Vol.
$5,708,931 Vol.
May 18, 2026
Alex Smalley
$160,409 Vol.
17%
Jon Rahm
$243,830 Vol.
15%
Ludvig Aberg
$140,890 Vol.
14%
Rory McIlroy
$409,883 Vol.
12%
Xander Schauffele
$359,559 Vol.
7%
Nick Taylor
$125,411 Vol.
5%
Scottie Scheffler
$598,925 Vol.
5%
Aaron Rai
$61,558 Vol.
4%
Patrick Reed
$84,080 Vol.
3%
Maverick McNealy
$66,250 Vol.
3%
Matti Schmid
$74,933 Vol.
3%
Chris Gotterup
$88,595 Vol.
2%
Min Woo Lee
$156,397 Vol.
2%
Justin Rose
$116,070 Vol.
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
$114,864 Vol.
2%
Joaquin Niemann
$51,479 Vol.
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
$110,078 Vol.
1%
Brooks Koepka
$117,113 Vol.
1%
Ben Griffin
$44,129 Vol.
1%
Cameron Young
$278,456 Vol.
1%
Cameron Smith
$49,549 Vol.
1%
Sam Burns
$52,908 Vol.
1%
Rickie Fowler
$78,538 Vol.
1%
Bud Cauley
$41,490 Vol.
1%
David Puig
$56,597 Vol.
<1%
Haotong Li
$100,177 Vol.
<1%
Andrew Novak
$621 Vol.
<1%
Justin Thomas
$100,585 Vol.
<1%
Si Woo Kim
$55,408 Vol.
<1%
Harris English
$50,997 Vol.
<1%
Jordan Spieth
$88,951 Vol.
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
$52,789 Vol.
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
$63,345 Vol.
<1%
Brian Harman
$2,220 Vol.
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
$135,443 Vol.
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
$71,757 Vol.
<1%
Collin Morikawa
$209,722 Vol.
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
$96,262 Vol.
<1%
Shane Lowry
$74,556 Vol.
<1%
Alex Noren
$4,596 Vol.
<1%
Corey Conners
$45,221 Vol.
<1%
Sam Stevens
$39,906 Vol.
<1%
Sahith Theegala
$54,523 Vol.
<1%
Michael Brennan
$14,720 Vol.
<1%
Ryan Fox
$6,101 Vol.
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
$48,169 Vol.
<1%
John Keefer
$1,305 Vol.
<1%
Andrew Putnam
$3,544 Vol.
<1%
Sami Valimaki
$1,835 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Brown
$8,963 Vol.
<1%
Jason Day
$48,241 Vol.
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
$1,848 Vol.
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
$101,184 Vol.
<1%
Matt Wallace
$1,165 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Berger
$26,587 Vol.
<1%
Ryan Gerard
$21,069 Vol.
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
$10,945 Vol.
<1%
Dustin Johnson
$21,736 Vol.
<1%
Keith Mitchell
$1,956 Vol.
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
$4,146 Vol.
<1%
John Parry
$877 Vol.
<1%
Elvis Smylie
$1,740 Vol.
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
$2,367 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alex Smalley enters the final round of the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club with a two-shot lead after carding a third-round 68, positioning him as the consensus favorite among traders. Jon Rahm, Ludvig Åberg, and Rory McIlroy sit just behind in a crowded leaderboard that has featured 13 different leaders at various points, reflecting strong ball-striking and wedge play from the chase group. Scottie Scheffler has dropped back after a disappointing round, while Xander Schauffele and others remain within range on a demanding layout. The bunched probabilities underscore the event’s volatility, where final-round scoring, course management, and momentum shifts among top contenders continue to shape the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Volume
$5,708,931End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alex Smalley enters the final round of the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club with a two-shot lead after carding a third-round 68, positioning him as the consensus favorite among traders. Jon Rahm, Ludvig Åberg, and Rory McIlroy sit just behind in a crowded leaderboard that has featured 13 different leaders at various points, reflecting strong ball-striking and wedge play from the chase group. Scottie Scheffler has dropped back after a disappointing round, while Xander Schauffele and others remain within range on a demanding layout. The bunched probabilities underscore the event’s volatility, where final-round scoring, course management, and momentum shifts among top contenders continue to shape the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,708,931End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Alex Smalley enters the final round of the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club with a two-shot lead after carding a third-round 68, positioning him as the consensus favorite among traders. Jon Rahm, Ludvig Åberg, and Rory McIlroy sit just behind in a crowded leaderboard that has featured 13 different leaders at various points, reflecting strong ball-striking and wedge play from the chase group. Scottie Scheffler has dropped back after a disappointing round, while Xander Schauffele and others remain within range on a demanding layout. The bunched probabilities underscore the event’s volatility, where final-round scoring, course management, and momentum shifts among top contenders continue to shape the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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