Aaron Rai secured the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club through a commanding final-round 65 that included a clutch 68-foot putt on the 17th hole, allowing him to pull away from a stacked field and claim his first major title as the first Englishman to win the event in more than a century. Recent form, precise iron play, and steady putting under pressure propelled the market to reflect near-certainty in his victory. While the tournament has concluded with official results confirming the outcome, any lingering uncertainty around final scoring reviews or weather delays could theoretically shift the resolution, though such factors appear resolved based on the latest PGA Tour reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAaron Rai 100.0%
Rory McIlroy <1%
Jon Rahm <1%
Xander Schauffele <1%
$8,947,392 Vol.
$8,947,392 Vol.
May 18, 2026
Aaron Rai
100%
Rory McIlroy
<1%
Jon Rahm
<1%
Xander Schauffele
<1%
Ludvig Aberg
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Alex Smalley
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Justin Rose
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Matti Schmid
<1%
Aaron Rai 100.0%
Rory McIlroy <1%
Jon Rahm <1%
Xander Schauffele <1%
$8,947,392 Vol.
$8,947,392 Vol.
May 18, 2026
Aaron Rai
$387,365 Vol.
100%
Rory McIlroy
$847,893 Vol.
<1%
Jon Rahm
$787,658 Vol.
<1%
Xander Schauffele
$509,652 Vol.
<1%
Ludvig Aberg
$311,843 Vol.
<1%
Justin Thomas
$186,691 Vol.
<1%
Maverick McNealy
$88,289 Vol.
<1%
Alex Smalley
$415,104 Vol.
<1%
Cameron Smith
$148,573 Vol.
<1%
Justin Rose
$178,295 Vol.
<1%
Patrick Reed
$179,933 Vol.
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
$133,731 Vol.
<1%
Ben Griffin
$54,202 Vol.
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
$81,040 Vol.
<1%
David Puig
$58,385 Vol.
<1%
Nick Taylor
$241,652 Vol.
<1%
Bud Cauley
$43,600 Vol.
<1%
Matti Schmid
$291,688 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Rai secured the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club through a commanding final-round 65 that included a clutch 68-foot putt on the 17th hole, allowing him to pull away from a stacked field and claim his first major title as the first Englishman to win the event in more than a century. Recent form, precise iron play, and steady putting under pressure propelled the market to reflect near-certainty in his victory. While the tournament has concluded with official results confirming the outcome, any lingering uncertainty around final scoring reviews or weather delays could theoretically shift the resolution, though such factors appear resolved based on the latest PGA Tour reports.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Volume
$8,947,392End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Rai secured the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club through a commanding final-round 65 that included a clutch 68-foot putt on the 17th hole, allowing him to pull away from a stacked field and claim his first major title as the first Englishman to win the event in more than a century. Recent form, precise iron play, and steady putting under pressure propelled the market to reflect near-certainty in his victory. While the tournament has concluded with official results confirming the outcome, any lingering uncertainty around final scoring reviews or weather delays could theoretically shift the resolution, though such factors appear resolved based on the latest PGA Tour reports.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,947,392End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Aaron Rai secured the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club through a commanding final-round 65 that included a clutch 68-foot putt on the 17th hole, allowing him to pull away from a stacked field and claim his first major title as the first Englishman to win the event in more than a century. Recent form, precise iron play, and steady putting under pressure propelled the market to reflect near-certainty in his victory. While the tournament has concluded with official results confirming the outcome, any lingering uncertainty around final scoring reviews or weather delays could theoretically shift the resolution, though such factors appear resolved based on the latest PGA Tour reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions