Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend—the biggest ever, narrowly topping Avengers: Endgame—drives current trader sentiment, backed by strong presales, 90% critic scores, and proven Tom Holland franchise appeal. The film’s $225 million budget and positive word-of-mouth support solid legs through August, though competition from holdovers like The Odyssey and typical post-opening drops create uncertainty around the precise multiplier. With roughly four weeks until the August 31 cutoff, momentum from its $407 million four-day total and rapid global climb past $1 billion positions the market’s near-even split between sub-$900 million and higher brackets (1040–1060 million) around execution of sustained audience turnout versus historical blockbuster decay patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
900 - 920m 45%
920 - 940m 45%
<900m 44%
940 - 960m 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
<900m
44%
900 - 920m
45%
920 - 940m
45%
940 - 960m
43%
960 - 980m
31%
980 - 1000m
29%
1000 - 1020m
27%
1020 - 1040m
41%
1040 - 1060m
42%
1060 - 1080m
25%
1080m+
28%
900 - 920m 45%
920 - 940m 45%
<900m 44%
940 - 960m 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
<900m
$0 Vol.
44%
900 - 920m
$0 Vol.
45%
920 - 940m
$0 Vol.
45%
940 - 960m
$0 Vol.
43%
960 - 980m
$0 Vol.
31%
980 - 1000m
$0 Vol.
29%
1000 - 1020m
$0 Vol.
27%
1020 - 1040m
$0 Vol.
41%
1040 - 1060m
$0 Vol.
42%
1060 - 1080m
$0 Vol.
25%
1080m+
$0 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend—the biggest ever, narrowly topping Avengers: Endgame—drives current trader sentiment, backed by strong presales, 90% critic scores, and proven Tom Holland franchise appeal. The film’s $225 million budget and positive word-of-mouth support solid legs through August, though competition from holdovers like The Odyssey and typical post-opening drops create uncertainty around the precise multiplier. With roughly four weeks until the August 31 cutoff, momentum from its $407 million four-day total and rapid global climb past $1 billion positions the market’s near-even split between sub-$900 million and higher brackets (1040–1060 million) around execution of sustained audience turnout versus historical blockbuster decay patterns.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend—the biggest ever, narrowly topping Avengers: Endgame—drives current trader sentiment, backed by strong presales, 90% critic scores, and proven Tom Holland franchise appeal. The film’s $225 million budget and positive word-of-mouth support solid legs through August, though competition from holdovers like The Odyssey and typical post-opening drops create uncertainty around the precise multiplier. With roughly four weeks until the August 31 cutoff, momentum from its $407 million four-day total and rapid global climb past $1 billion positions the market’s near-even split between sub-$900 million and higher brackets (1040–1060 million) around execution of sustained audience turnout versus historical blockbuster decay patterns.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend—the biggest ever, narrowly topping Avengers: Endgame—drives current trader sentiment, backed by strong presales, 90% critic scores, and proven Tom Holland franchise appeal. The film’s $225 million budget and positive word-of-mouth support solid legs through August, though competition from holdovers like The Odyssey and typical post-opening drops create uncertainty around the precise multiplier. With roughly four weeks until the August 31 cutoff, momentum from its $407 million four-day total and rapid global climb past $1 billion positions the market’s near-even split between sub-$900 million and higher brackets (1040–1060 million) around execution of sustained audience turnout versus historical blockbuster decay patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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