The deep field of elite grandmasters in Chess.com's weekly 11-round blitz Swiss makes Titled Tuesday inherently unpredictable, with no player exceeding 18.5% implied probability for the September 8 event. Magnus Carlsen and Hikaru Nakamura lead trader consensus due to their unmatched historical dominance—Nakamura with the most career wins and Carlsen's consistent top finishes—yet recent editions underscore the parity, as winners have included Hans Niemann, Jan-Krzysztof Duda, Alireza Firouzja, and others amid frequent 9.5–10/11 scores from a broad group. Strong recent form from players like Arjun Erigaisi, Denis Lazavik, Aleksei Sarana, and Wesley So, combined with the event's high variance from time pressure and Swiss pairings, keeps probabilities tightly bunched and reflects broad market recognition that multiple contenders hold realistic paths to victory on any given Tuesday.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMagnus Carlsen 37%
Hikaru Nakamura 37%
Arjun Erigaisi 13%
Denis Lazavik 13%
Magnus Carlsen
37%
Hikaru Nakamura
37%
Arjun Erigaisi
13%
Denis Lazavik
13%
Alireza Firouzja
13%
Aleksei Sarana
13%
Sina Movahed
9%
Aravindh Chithambaram
9%
Andrey Esipenko
9%
Bardiya Daneshvar
9%
David Anton
9%
Dau Khuong Duy
9%
Dincer Tasdogen
9%
Fabiano Caruana
9%
Hans Niemann
9%
Haowen Xue
9%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
9%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
9%
Jose Martinez
9%
Jules Moussard
9%
Javokhir Sindarov
9%
Jeffery Xiong
9%
Levon Aronian
9%
Le Tuan Minh
9%
Matthias Bluebaum
9%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
9%
Nikolas Theodorou
9%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
9%
Parham Maghsoodloo
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
9%
Pranav Venkatesh
9%
Renato Terry Lujan
9%
Rudik Makarian
9%
Rasmus Svane
9%
Sam Sevian
9%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
9%
Vladislav Artemiev
9%
Volen Dyulgerov
9%
Vincent Keymer
9%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
9%
Gukesh Dommaraju
9%
Ding Liren
9%
Vladimir Fedoseev
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Christopher Yoo
9%
Awonder Liang
9%
Alexander Grischuk
9%
Aleksandar Indjic
9%
Aleksandr Shimanov
9%
Benjamin Bok
9%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
9%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
9%
Dmitry Andreikin
9%
Faustino Oro
9%
Frederik Svane
9%
Haik Martirosyan
9%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
9%
Nihal Sarin
9%
Pranesh Munirethinam
9%
Sergey Sklokin
9%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
9%
Wesley So
9%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
9%
Wei Yi
9%
Andrew Tang
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Magnus Carlsen 37%
Hikaru Nakamura 37%
Arjun Erigaisi 13%
Denis Lazavik 13%
Magnus Carlsen
37%
Hikaru Nakamura
37%
Arjun Erigaisi
13%
Denis Lazavik
13%
Alireza Firouzja
13%
Aleksei Sarana
13%
Sina Movahed
9%
Aravindh Chithambaram
9%
Andrey Esipenko
9%
Bardiya Daneshvar
9%
David Anton
9%
Dau Khuong Duy
9%
Dincer Tasdogen
9%
Fabiano Caruana
9%
Hans Niemann
9%
Haowen Xue
9%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
9%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
9%
Jose Martinez
9%
Jules Moussard
9%
Javokhir Sindarov
9%
Jeffery Xiong
9%
Levon Aronian
9%
Le Tuan Minh
9%
Matthias Bluebaum
9%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
9%
Nikolas Theodorou
9%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
9%
Parham Maghsoodloo
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
9%
Pranav Venkatesh
9%
Renato Terry Lujan
9%
Rudik Makarian
9%
Rasmus Svane
9%
Sam Sevian
9%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
9%
Vladislav Artemiev
9%
Volen Dyulgerov
9%
Vincent Keymer
9%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
9%
Gukesh Dommaraju
9%
Ding Liren
9%
Vladimir Fedoseev
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Christopher Yoo
9%
Awonder Liang
9%
Alexander Grischuk
9%
Aleksandar Indjic
9%
Aleksandr Shimanov
9%
Benjamin Bok
9%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
9%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
9%
Dmitry Andreikin
9%
Faustino Oro
9%
Frederik Svane
9%
Haik Martirosyan
9%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
9%
Nihal Sarin
9%
Pranesh Munirethinam
9%
Sergey Sklokin
9%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
9%
Wesley So
9%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
9%
Wei Yi
9%
Andrew Tang
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The deep field of elite grandmasters in Chess.com's weekly 11-round blitz Swiss makes Titled Tuesday inherently unpredictable, with no player exceeding 18.5% implied probability for the September 8 event. Magnus Carlsen and Hikaru Nakamura lead trader consensus due to their unmatched historical dominance—Nakamura with the most career wins and Carlsen's consistent top finishes—yet recent editions underscore the parity, as winners have included Hans Niemann, Jan-Krzysztof Duda, Alireza Firouzja, and others amid frequent 9.5–10/11 scores from a broad group. Strong recent form from players like Arjun Erigaisi, Denis Lazavik, Aleksei Sarana, and Wesley So, combined with the event's high variance from time pressure and Swiss pairings, keeps probabilities tightly bunched and reflects broad market recognition that multiple contenders hold realistic paths to victory on any given Tuesday.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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