Tesla shares trade with elevated uncertainty into the week of September 21, as market-implied odds cluster tightly between $355 and $375 without a clear favorite above 24 percent probability. Recent earnings results, production trends, and EV-sector competitive dynamics have sustained volatility around current levels near $360, while broader factors such as Treasury yields, monetary policy expectations, and risk appetite for growth equities shape positioning. Traders appear focused on near-term catalysts including any regulatory updates or product milestones that could alter revenue outlooks or margin trajectories before Friday’s close. The even distribution of probabilities underscores the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of multiple plausible paths rather than a single dominant outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated>$385 17%
$360-$365 14%
$365-$370 14%
$355-$360 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
<$340
12%
$340-$345
11%
$345-$350
12%
$350-$355
9%
$355-$360
14%
$360-$365
14%
$365-$370
14%
$370-$375
13%
$375-$380
12%
$380-$385
12%
>$385
17%
>$385 17%
$360-$365 14%
$365-$370 14%
$355-$360 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
<$340
$0 Vol.
12%
$340-$345
$0 Vol.
11%
$345-$350
$0 Vol.
12%
$350-$355
$0 Vol.
9%
$355-$360
$0 Vol.
14%
$360-$365
$0 Vol.
14%
$365-$370
$0 Vol.
14%
$370-$375
$0 Vol.
13%
$375-$380
$0 Vol.
12%
$380-$385
$0 Vol.
12%
>$385
$0 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.Tesla shares trade with elevated uncertainty into the week of September 21, as market-implied odds cluster tightly between $355 and $375 without a clear favorite above 24 percent probability. Recent earnings results, production trends, and EV-sector competitive dynamics have sustained volatility around current levels near $360, while broader factors such as Treasury yields, monetary policy expectations, and risk appetite for growth equities shape positioning. Traders appear focused on near-term catalysts including any regulatory updates or product milestones that could alter revenue outlooks or margin trajectories before Friday’s close. The even distribution of probabilities underscores the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of multiple plausible paths rather than a single dominant outcome.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.Tesla shares trade with elevated uncertainty into the week of September 21, as market-implied odds cluster tightly between $355 and $375 without a clear favorite above 24 percent probability. Recent earnings results, production trends, and EV-sector competitive dynamics have sustained volatility around current levels near $360, while broader factors such as Treasury yields, monetary policy expectations, and risk appetite for growth equities shape positioning. Traders appear focused on near-term catalysts including any regulatory updates or product milestones that could alter revenue outlooks or margin trajectories before Friday’s close. The even distribution of probabilities underscores the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of multiple plausible paths rather than a single dominant outcome.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares trade with elevated uncertainty into the week of September 21, as market-implied odds cluster tightly between $355 and $375 without a clear favorite above 24 percent probability. Recent earnings results, production trends, and EV-sector competitive dynamics have sustained volatility around current levels near $360, while broader factors such as Treasury yields, monetary policy expectations, and risk appetite for growth equities shape positioning. Traders appear focused on near-term catalysts including any regulatory updates or product milestones that could alter revenue outlooks or margin trajectories before Friday’s close. The even distribution of probabilities underscores the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of multiple plausible paths rather than a single dominant outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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