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Apple predictions & odds

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#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

94%

ChatGPT

$4.4K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

Ends in about 24 hours

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

84%

$161K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

8

Ends in 8 months

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

95%

Claude by Anthropic

$2.3K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

Ends in about 24 hours

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

95%

Shadowrocket

$918 Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends in about 24 hours

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

97%

$95.4K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

40

Ends in 8 months

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

61%

$29.6K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

8

Ends in 8 months

Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?

Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?

4%

$6.8K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

32%

$278K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

33

Ends in 8 months

Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

6%

$4.5K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

19%

$11.1K Vol.

$780 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?

Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?

19%

$2.1K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?

Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?

8%

$551 Vol.

$522 Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Apple.

Polymarket currently hosts 12 active markets for Apple that lets you track or trade on predictions like “#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $596K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 68% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Apple predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.