US GDP growth in Q4 2025?
$200,888 Vol.
>3.5% 54%
2.0–2.5% 8%
3.0–3.5% 7.8%
2.5–3.0% 7.4%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<1.0%
$30,609 Vol.
2%
<1.0%
$30,609 Vol.
2%
1.0–1.5%
$15,774 Vol.
6%
1.0–1.5%
$15,774 Vol.
6%
1.5–2.0%
$12,865 Vol.
7%
1.5–2.0%
$12,865 Vol.
7%
2.0–2.5%
$14,836 Vol.
8%
2.0–2.5%
$14,836 Vol.
8%
2.5–3.0%
$21,685 Vol.
7%
2.5–3.0%
$21,685 Vol.
7%
3.0–3.5%
$22,377 Vol.
8%
3.0–3.5%
$22,377 Vol.
8%
>3.5%
$82,741 Vol.
54%
>3.5%
$82,741 Vol.
54%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2025, scheduled for January 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Created At: Oct 29, 2025, 6:56 PM UTC
Volume
$200,888End Date
Jan 29, 2026Created At
Oct 29, 2025, 6:56 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$200,888 Vol.
US GDP growth in Q4 2025?
>3.5% 54%
2.0–2.5% 8%
3.0–3.5% 7.8%
2.5–3.0% 7.4%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<1.0%
$30,609 Vol.
2%
1.0–1.5%
$15,774 Vol.
6%
1.5–2.0%
$12,865 Vol.
7%
2.0–2.5%
$14,836 Vol.
8%
2.5–3.0%
$21,685 Vol.
7%
3.0–3.5%
$22,377 Vol.
8%
>3.5%
$82,741 Vol.
54%
About
Volume
$200,888End Date
Jan 29, 2026Created At
Oct 29, 2025, 6:56 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
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