Dubai's residential property price index, which peaked near 220 in January 2026 on a 2012 base of 100, has since corrected to approximately 207 by August amid regional geopolitical tensions tied to the Iran conflict and elevated new supply. Transaction volumes fell sharply year-over-year through the first half, with residential sales down roughly 14-16% in value, while median prices per square foot eased from earlier peaks as investors turned selective and occupancy disruptions weighed on sentiment. Forecasts from major developers point to an average 5% price decline for the full year, though completed-property segments have shown relative resilience with modest year-on-year gains in some readings. Upcoming data releases on transaction volumes and any de-escalation in regional travel impacts will likely shape the final 2026 index level.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$108,972 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 18,000
4%
↑ 16,000
4%
↑ 14,000
5%
↓ 10,000
26%
↓ 8,000
9%
↓ 6,000
5%
↓ 4,000
3%
$108,972 Vol.
↑ 18,000
$12,226 Vol.
4%
↑ 16,000
$20,178 Vol.
4%
↑ 14,000
$13,409 Vol.
5%
↓ 10,000
$26,527 Vol.
26%
↓ 8,000
$10,332 Vol.
9%
↓ 6,000
$12,096 Vol.
5%
↓ 4,000
$14,204 Vol.
3%
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
If, for any trading day, the relevant TradingView data is unavailable, the official daily high value for the DFM Real Estate Index published by the Dubai Financial Market will be used to determine whether the listed value was reached during the applicable trading session. If price data remains unavailable from both sources for 72 hours after market close on the final trading day of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the price data published up to that point.This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "Low" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
If, for any trading day, the relevant TradingView data is unavailable, the official daily high value for the DFM Real Estate Index published by the Dubai Financial Market will be used to determine whether the listed value was reached during the applicable trading session. If price data remains unavailable from both sources for 72 hours after market close on the final trading day of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the price data published up to that point.Dubai's residential property price index, which peaked near 220 in January 2026 on a 2012 base of 100, has since corrected to approximately 207 by August amid regional geopolitical tensions tied to the Iran conflict and elevated new supply. Transaction volumes fell sharply year-over-year through the first half, with residential sales down roughly 14-16% in value, while median prices per square foot eased from earlier peaks as investors turned selective and occupancy disruptions weighed on sentiment. Forecasts from major developers point to an average 5% price decline for the full year, though completed-property segments have shown relative resilience with modest year-on-year gains in some readings. Upcoming data releases on transaction volumes and any de-escalation in regional travel impacts will likely shape the final 2026 index level.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
If, for any trading day, the relevant TradingView data is unavailable, the official daily high value for the DFM Real Estate Index published by the Dubai Financial Market will be used to determine whether the listed value was reached during the applicable trading session. If price data remains unavailable from both sources for 72 hours after market close on the final trading day of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the price data published up to that point.
The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
If, for any trading day, the relevant TradingView data is unavailable, the official daily high value for the DFM Real Estate Index published by the Dubai Financial Market will be used to determine whether the listed value was reached during the applicable trading session. If price data remains unavailable from both sources for 72 hours after market close on the final trading day of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the price data published up to that point.
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$108,972End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Mar 16, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
If, for any trading day, the relevant TradingView data is unavailable, the official daily high value for the DFM Real Estate Index published by the Dubai Financial Market will be used to determine whether the listed value was reached during the applicable trading session. If price data remains unavailable from both sources for 72 hours after market close on the final trading day of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the price data published up to that point.This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "Low" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
If, for any trading day, the relevant TradingView data is unavailable, the official daily high value for the DFM Real Estate Index published by the Dubai Financial Market will be used to determine whether the listed value was reached during the applicable trading session. If price data remains unavailable from both sources for 72 hours after market close on the final trading day of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the price data published up to that point.Dubai's residential property price index, which peaked near 220 in January 2026 on a 2012 base of 100, has since corrected to approximately 207 by August amid regional geopolitical tensions tied to the Iran conflict and elevated new supply. Transaction volumes fell sharply year-over-year through the first half, with residential sales down roughly 14-16% in value, while median prices per square foot eased from earlier peaks as investors turned selective and occupancy disruptions weighed on sentiment. Forecasts from major developers point to an average 5% price decline for the full year, though completed-property segments have shown relative resilience with modest year-on-year gains in some readings. Upcoming data releases on transaction volumes and any de-escalation in regional travel impacts will likely shape the final 2026 index level.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
If, for any trading day, the relevant TradingView data is unavailable, the official daily high value for the DFM Real Estate Index published by the Dubai Financial Market will be used to determine whether the listed value was reached during the applicable trading session. If price data remains unavailable from both sources for 72 hours after market close on the final trading day of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the price data published up to that point.
The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
If, for any trading day, the relevant TradingView data is unavailable, the official daily high value for the DFM Real Estate Index published by the Dubai Financial Market will be used to determine whether the listed value was reached during the applicable trading session. If price data remains unavailable from both sources for 72 hours after market close on the final trading day of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the price data published up to that point.
Volume
$108,972End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Mar 16, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Dubai's residential property price index, which peaked near 220 in January 2026 on a 2012 base of 100, has since corrected to approximately 207 by August amid regional geopolitical tensions tied to the Iran conflict and elevated new supply. Transaction volumes fell sharply year-over-year through the first half, with residential sales down roughly 14-16% in value, while median prices per square foot eased from earlier peaks as investors turned selective and occupancy disruptions weighed on sentiment. Forecasts from major developers point to an average 5% price decline for the full year, though completed-property segments have shown relative resilience with modest year-on-year gains in some readings. Upcoming data releases on transaction volumes and any de-escalation in regional travel impacts will likely shape the final 2026 index level.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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