The S&P 500, trading near 7,653 as of late August 2026 after a modest pullback from its August high near 7,799, reflects resilient equity performance amid mixed macroeconomic signals. Persistent energy price pressures tied to supply disruptions have kept inflation readings elevated, prompting market participants to price in a meaningful probability of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate hike at the September FOMC meeting while the central bank maintains its 3.50–3.75% funds rate target. Stable labor market conditions, with unemployment near 4.2% and moderate payroll gains, alongside moderating core inflation trends, support current valuations, though upcoming September data releases on CPI, employment, and the FOMC decision itself represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied equity levels ahead of month-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Sep 30, 2026
↑ $830
49%
↑ $820
49%
↑ $810
48%
↑ $800
49%
↑ $790
47%
↑ $780
53%
↑ $770
51%
↓ $760
52%
↓ $750
48%
↓ $740
49%
↓ $730
49%
↓ $720
49%
↓ $710
50%
↓ $700
50%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $830
$0 Vol.
49%
↑ $820
$0 Vol.
49%
↑ $810
$0 Vol.
48%
↑ $800
$0 Vol.
49%
↑ $790
$0 Vol.
47%
↑ $780
$0 Vol.
53%
↑ $770
$0 Vol.
51%
↓ $760
$0 Vol.
52%
↓ $750
$0 Vol.
48%
↓ $740
$0 Vol.
49%
↓ $730
$0 Vol.
49%
↓ $720
$0 Vol.
49%
↓ $710
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $700
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.The S&P 500, trading near 7,653 as of late August 2026 after a modest pullback from its August high near 7,799, reflects resilient equity performance amid mixed macroeconomic signals. Persistent energy price pressures tied to supply disruptions have kept inflation readings elevated, prompting market participants to price in a meaningful probability of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate hike at the September FOMC meeting while the central bank maintains its 3.50–3.75% funds rate target. Stable labor market conditions, with unemployment near 4.2% and moderate payroll gains, alongside moderating core inflation trends, support current valuations, though upcoming September data releases on CPI, employment, and the FOMC decision itself represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied equity levels ahead of month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.The S&P 500, trading near 7,653 as of late August 2026 after a modest pullback from its August high near 7,799, reflects resilient equity performance amid mixed macroeconomic signals. Persistent energy price pressures tied to supply disruptions have kept inflation readings elevated, prompting market participants to price in a meaningful probability of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate hike at the September FOMC meeting while the central bank maintains its 3.50–3.75% funds rate target. Stable labor market conditions, with unemployment near 4.2% and moderate payroll gains, alongside moderating core inflation trends, support current valuations, though upcoming September data releases on CPI, employment, and the FOMC decision itself represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied equity levels ahead of month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500, trading near 7,653 as of late August 2026 after a modest pullback from its August high near 7,799, reflects resilient equity performance amid mixed macroeconomic signals. Persistent energy price pressures tied to supply disruptions have kept inflation readings elevated, prompting market participants to price in a meaningful probability of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate hike at the September FOMC meeting while the central bank maintains its 3.50–3.75% funds rate target. Stable labor market conditions, with unemployment near 4.2% and moderate payroll gains, alongside moderating core inflation trends, support current valuations, though upcoming September data releases on CPI, employment, and the FOMC decision itself represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied equity levels ahead of month-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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