Oura's September 3 S-1 filing, disclosing $1.21 billion in revenue for the nine months ended June 30—up 74% year-over-year with $60.8 million in net income and 5 million paid members—anchors trader sentiment for its Nasdaq debut under ticker OURA. Strong recurring membership revenue at 89% gross margins and projected 2026 revenue near $2 billion support expectations for a closing market cap above the prior $11 billion private valuation, with reports of a potential $3 billion raise at over $16 billion. Market-implied odds remain closely split across the $15–20 billion range amid IPO window volatility, underwriter pricing dynamics, and comparable wearable valuations. Key near-term catalysts include final pricing and first-day trading levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$20B+ 30%
$15B–$17.5B 26%
$17.5B–$20B 21%
$12.5B–$15B 19%
$444,715 Vol.
$444,715 Vol.
<$7.5B
<1%
$7.5B–$10B
<1%
$10B–$12.5B
3%
$12.5B–$15B
19%
$15B–$17.5B
26%
$17.5B–$20B
21%
$20B+
30%
No IPO before January 2027
<1%
$20B+ 30%
$15B–$17.5B 26%
$17.5B–$20B 21%
$12.5B–$15B 19%
$444,715 Vol.
$444,715 Vol.
<$7.5B
<1%
$7.5B–$10B
<1%
$10B–$12.5B
3%
$12.5B–$15B
19%
$15B–$17.5B
26%
$17.5B–$20B
21%
$20B+
30%
No IPO before January 2027
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Oura's September 3 S-1 filing, disclosing $1.21 billion in revenue for the nine months ended June 30—up 74% year-over-year with $60.8 million in net income and 5 million paid members—anchors trader sentiment for its Nasdaq debut under ticker OURA. Strong recurring membership revenue at 89% gross margins and projected 2026 revenue near $2 billion support expectations for a closing market cap above the prior $11 billion private valuation, with reports of a potential $3 billion raise at over $16 billion. Market-implied odds remain closely split across the $15–20 billion range amid IPO window volatility, underwriter pricing dynamics, and comparable wearable valuations. Key near-term catalysts include final pricing and first-day trading levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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