FIFA's confirmation that Iran will participate in the 2026 World Cup, coupled with explicit rejection of external proposals to substitute another side, underpins the overwhelming market consensus for no replacement. President Gianni Infantino has repeatedly stressed that Iran earned its spot through AFC qualifying and will compete as scheduled, with the federation arranging a Mexico base camp to navigate U.S. entry logistics. Italian officials and FIFA sources dismissed politically motivated swap ideas as inappropriate, reinforcing that berths are determined by on-pitch qualification rather than external intervention. A late Iranian withdrawal due to unforeseen geopolitical or sanction-related barriers remains the only realistic path that could reopen the field for an Asian confederation standby such as the UAE.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual equipa substituirá o Irão no Campeonato do Mundo?
No Replacement 99.8%
Italy <1%
UAE <1%
Other <1%
$96,312 Vol.
$96,312 Vol.

No Replacement
100%

Italy
1%

UAE
<1%

Other
<1%

Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 99.8%
Italy <1%
UAE <1%
Other <1%
$96,312 Vol.
$96,312 Vol.

No Replacement
100%

Italy
1%

UAE
<1%

Other
<1%

Bolivia
<1%
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...FIFA's confirmation that Iran will participate in the 2026 World Cup, coupled with explicit rejection of external proposals to substitute another side, underpins the overwhelming market consensus for no replacement. President Gianni Infantino has repeatedly stressed that Iran earned its spot through AFC qualifying and will compete as scheduled, with the federation arranging a Mexico base camp to navigate U.S. entry logistics. Italian officials and FIFA sources dismissed politically motivated swap ideas as inappropriate, reinforcing that berths are determined by on-pitch qualification rather than external intervention. A late Iranian withdrawal due to unforeseen geopolitical or sanction-related barriers remains the only realistic path that could reopen the field for an Asian confederation standby such as the UAE.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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