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Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

Petr Yan 53%

Merab Dvalishvili 23%

Umar Nurmagomedov 5.1%

Sean O'Malley 5%

Polymarket

$442,834 Vol.

Petr Yan 53%

Merab Dvalishvili 23%

Umar Nurmagomedov 5.1%

Sean O'Malley 5%

Polymarket

$442,834 Vol.

Petr Yan

$4,421 Vol.

53%

Merab Dvalishvili

$4,081 Vol.

23%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$4,512 Vol.

5%

Sean O'Malley

$7,206 Vol.

5%

Song Yadong

$116,750 Vol.

2%

Cory Sandhagen

$3,947 Vol.

1%

Mario Bautista

$22,904 Vol.

1%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$42,407 Vol.

1%

Marlon Vera

$64,568 Vol.

1%

David Martinez

$110,105 Vol.

1%

Aiemann Zahabi

$61,933 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Petr Yan holds the strongest trader consensus as the leading candidate to finish 2026 as UFC bantamweight champion, reflecting his December 2025 unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 that reclaimed the undisputed title after a lengthy climb back. Dvalishvili’s high activity level and grappling pressure keep him prominent, with a potential trilogy fight looming as a key variable. Aiemann Zahabi’s elevated positioning stems from consistent recent wins and ranking climbs that position him as a credible dark-horse contender in a deep division. Sean O’Malley and Umar Nurmagomedov trail due to prior title opportunities and stylistic matchups against the current champion, while lower-priced names like Cory Sandhagen and Song Yadong face steeper paths amid the crowded contender landscape. The market pricing underscores the division’s volatility, where one or two decisive performances could shift implied probabilities substantially before year-end.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$442,834
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Petr Yan holds the strongest trader consensus as the leading candidate to finish 2026 as UFC bantamweight champion, reflecting his December 2025 unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 that reclaimed the undisputed title after a lengthy climb back. Dvalishvili’s high activity level and grappling pressure keep him prominent, with a potential trilogy fight looming as a key variable. Aiemann Zahabi’s elevated positioning stems from consistent recent wins and ranking climbs that position him as a credible dark-horse contender in a deep division. Sean O’Malley and Umar Nurmagomedov trail due to prior title opportunities and stylistic matchups against the current champion, while lower-priced names like Cory Sandhagen and Song Yadong face steeper paths amid the crowded contender landscape. The market pricing underscores the division’s volatility, where one or two decisive performances could shift implied probabilities substantially before year-end.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$442,834
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Petr Yan" at 53%, followed by "Merab Dvalishvili" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $442.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Petr Yan" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Merab Dvalishvili" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.