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Quem será o campeão dos Pesos-Pesados do UFC no final de 2026?

icon for Quem será o campeão dos Pesos-Pesados do UFC no final de 2026?
Desporto·Mma

Quem será o campeão dos Pesos-Pesados do UFC no final de 2026?

Tom Aspinall 42%

Ciryl Gane 28%

Ante Delija 27.7%

Serghei Spivac 10.0%

Polymarket

$324,110 Vol.

Tom Aspinall 42%

Ciryl Gane 28%

Ante Delija 27.7%

Serghei Spivac 10.0%

Polymarket

$324,110 Vol.

Tom Aspinall

$3,992 Vol.

42%

Ciryl Gane

$3,700 Vol.

28%

Ante Delija

$111 Vol.

28%

Serghei Spivac

$101 Vol.

10%

Derrick Lewis

$9,144 Vol.

7%

Jailton Almeida

$113 Vol.

5%

Waldo Cortes Acosta

$47,791 Vol.

5%

Alexander Volkov

$26,639 Vol.

2%

Marcin Tybura

$166,213 Vol.

1%

Sergei Pavlovich

$116 Vol.

18%

Lutador C

$19 Vol.

24%

Lutador B

$19 Vol.

1%

Lutador A

$19 Vol.

23%

Curtis Blaydes

$66,130 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).**The UFC heavyweight title picture entering mid-2026 remains unsettled, with trader pricing reflecting Tom Aspinall’s prolonged absence and rapid emergence of new contenders.** Aspinall, the undisputed champion after Jon Jones’s 2025 retirement, suffered an eye injury in a no-contest against Ciryl Gane at UFC 321 in October 2025. Medical delays have pushed his return timeline into question, limiting his window for defenses before year-end and opening the door for others. Recent activity has reshaped rankings and sentiment. Josh Hokit delivered a high-volume upset over Curtis Blaydes at UFC 327 in April 2026, earning Fight of the Night honors and a quick booking against Derrick Lewis at the White House event. Tyrell Fortune, a wrestling standout, cracked the top 10 with a win over Marcin Tybura and continues climbing. Rizvan Kuniev, Ante Delija, and others have notched victories that keep the division in flux. This competitive bunching around 42–45% for the top three outcomes captures the division’s volatility: Aspinall retains the edge if cleared for even one defense, yet Hokit’s momentum and Fortune’s rapid ascent create realistic paths for an end-of-year change. The market prices the field as wide open given injury uncertainty and the pace of new talent integration.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$324,110
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).**The UFC heavyweight title picture entering mid-2026 remains unsettled, with trader pricing reflecting Tom Aspinall’s prolonged absence and rapid emergence of new contenders.** Aspinall, the undisputed champion after Jon Jones’s 2025 retirement, suffered an eye injury in a no-contest against Ciryl Gane at UFC 321 in October 2025. Medical delays have pushed his return timeline into question, limiting his window for defenses before year-end and opening the door for others. Recent activity has reshaped rankings and sentiment. Josh Hokit delivered a high-volume upset over Curtis Blaydes at UFC 327 in April 2026, earning Fight of the Night honors and a quick booking against Derrick Lewis at the White House event. Tyrell Fortune, a wrestling standout, cracked the top 10 with a win over Marcin Tybura and continues climbing. Rizvan Kuniev, Ante Delija, and others have notched victories that keep the division in flux. This competitive bunching around 42–45% for the top three outcomes captures the division’s volatility: Aspinall retains the edge if cleared for even one defense, yet Hokit’s momentum and Fortune’s rapid ascent create realistic paths for an end-of-year change. The market prices the field as wide open given injury uncertainty and the pace of new talent integration.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$324,110
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem será o campeão dos Pesos-Pesados do UFC no final de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Aspinall" at 42%, followed by "Ciryl Gane" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem será o campeão dos Pesos-Pesados do UFC no final de 2026?" has generated $324.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem será o campeão dos Pesos-Pesados do UFC no final de 2026?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem será o campeão dos Pesos-Pesados do UFC no final de 2026?" is "Tom Aspinall" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ciryl Gane" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem será o campeão dos Pesos-Pesados do UFC no final de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.