Petr Yan's status as the reigning UFC bantamweight champion after his December 2025 decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili has positioned a trilogy rematch as the clear frontrunner in the market. Recent comments from both fighters and UFC officials confirm the bout as the priority once Yan returns from minor back surgery that sidelined him through the first half of 2026, with an August target date emerging as the most likely window. This timeline and direct title-defense implications explain the heavy trader consensus around Dvalishvili. Sean O'Malley sits further back after earlier rematch interest cooled due to scheduling conflicts and Yan's preference for the immediate trilogy, while lower-probability names like Umar Nurmagomedov reflect longer-term divisional contenders without confirmed negotiations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMerab Dvalishvili 74%
Sean O’Malley 13.2%
Umar Nurmagomedov 5.6%
Song Yadong 1.0%
$1,039,754 Vol.
$1,039,754 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
74%
Sean O’Malley
13%
Umar Nurmagomedov
6%
Song Yadong
1%
Dominick Cruz
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Payton Talbott
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Ricky Simón
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Merab Dvalishvili 74%
Sean O’Malley 13.2%
Umar Nurmagomedov 5.6%
Song Yadong 1.0%
$1,039,754 Vol.
$1,039,754 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
74%
Sean O’Malley
13%
Umar Nurmagomedov
6%
Song Yadong
1%
Dominick Cruz
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Payton Talbott
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Ricky Simón
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan's status as the reigning UFC bantamweight champion after his December 2025 decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili has positioned a trilogy rematch as the clear frontrunner in the market. Recent comments from both fighters and UFC officials confirm the bout as the priority once Yan returns from minor back surgery that sidelined him through the first half of 2026, with an August target date emerging as the most likely window. This timeline and direct title-defense implications explain the heavy trader consensus around Dvalishvili. Sean O'Malley sits further back after earlier rematch interest cooled due to scheduling conflicts and Yan's preference for the immediate trilogy, while lower-probability names like Umar Nurmagomedov reflect longer-term divisional contenders without confirmed negotiations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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