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icon for Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?

Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?

icon for Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?

Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?

>99% chance
Polymarket
NEW
>99% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dua Lipa and Callum Turner's marriage takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only announcements made within this market's timeframe will qualify. No announcements made after December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET will be considered, even if the marriage itself is announced to have taken place within the market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Dua Lipa and Callum Turner, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Dua Lipa and Callum Turner’s confirmed engagement, announced by the singer in a June 2025 British Vogue interview, combined with late-April 2026 reports of a finalized three-day Palermo, Sicily ceremony set for September 5–7, has driven trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for a 2026 wedding. Italian outlets and subsequent coverage detail venue bookings at Villa Igiea, guest logistics via private jets, and an A-list celebration that comfortably clears the December 31 deadline. Precursor signals such as the couple’s high-profile public appearances and Lipa’s description of the engagement as a commitment to “grow old together” reinforce the momentum, mirroring historical patterns where engaged celebrities with locked-in dates and public planning rarely postpone. While entertainment timelines can shift due to unforeseen scheduling or personal factors, the advanced stage of preparations leaves little room for realistic upsets before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dua Lipa and Callum Turner's marriage takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only announcements made within this market's timeframe will qualify. No announcements made after December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET will be considered, even if the marriage itself is announced to have taken place within the market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Dua Lipa and Callum Turner, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,021
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 20, 2026, 11:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dua Lipa and Callum Turner's marriage takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only announcements made within this market's timeframe will qualify. No announcements made after December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET will be considered, even if the marriage itself is announced to have taken place within the market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Dua Lipa and Callum Turner, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dua Lipa and Callum Turner's marriage takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only announcements made within this market's timeframe will qualify. No announcements made after December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET will be considered, even if the marriage itself is announced to have taken place within the market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Dua Lipa and Callum Turner, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Dua Lipa and Callum Turner’s confirmed engagement, announced by the singer in a June 2025 British Vogue interview, combined with late-April 2026 reports of a finalized three-day Palermo, Sicily ceremony set for September 5–7, has driven trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for a 2026 wedding. Italian outlets and subsequent coverage detail venue bookings at Villa Igiea, guest logistics via private jets, and an A-list celebration that comfortably clears the December 31 deadline. Precursor signals such as the couple’s high-profile public appearances and Lipa’s description of the engagement as a commitment to “grow old together” reinforce the momentum, mirroring historical patterns where engaged celebrities with locked-in dates and public planning rarely postpone. While entertainment timelines can shift due to unforeseen scheduling or personal factors, the advanced stage of preparations leaves little room for realistic upsets before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dua Lipa and Callum Turner's marriage takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only announcements made within this market's timeframe will qualify. No announcements made after December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET will be considered, even if the marriage itself is announced to have taken place within the market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Dua Lipa and Callum Turner, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,021
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 20, 2026, 11:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dua Lipa and Callum Turner's marriage takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only announcements made within this market's timeframe will qualify. No announcements made after December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET will be considered, even if the marriage itself is announced to have taken place within the market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Dua Lipa and Callum Turner, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.