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icon for Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?
Politics·Hearing

Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?

icon for Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?
Politics·Hearing

Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?

49% chance
Polymarket
NEW
49% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jacob Coxon, a former OpenAI and Anthropic researcher, resigned publicly on September 8, 2026, citing concerns over the unchecked race toward self-improving superintelligence and issuing stark warnings about existential risks. The viral X thread immediately prompted lawmakers including Rep. Greg Casar, Sen. Bernie Sanders, and Rep. Anna Paulina Luna to call for congressional hearings and consider legislation such as a superintelligence ban. No committee has announced a confirmed public appearance or subpoena for Coxon as of mid-September, and congressional scheduling for high-profile AI safety sessions remains fluid amid competing priorities. Traders appear to weigh the rapid political attention against procedural timelines and the absence of a firm hearing date before October 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

“Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released.

The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16
End Date
Nov 1, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jacob Coxon, a former OpenAI and Anthropic researcher, resigned publicly on September 8, 2026, citing concerns over the unchecked race toward self-improving superintelligence and issuing stark warnings about existential risks. The viral X thread immediately prompted lawmakers including Rep. Greg Casar, Sen. Bernie Sanders, and Rep. Anna Paulina Luna to call for congressional hearings and consider legislation such as a superintelligence ban. No committee has announced a confirmed public appearance or subpoena for Coxon as of mid-September, and congressional scheduling for high-profile AI safety sessions remains fluid amid competing priorities. Traders appear to weigh the rapid political attention against procedural timelines and the absence of a firm hearing date before October 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

“Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released.

The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16
End Date
Nov 1, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 49% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 49¢, the market collectively assigns a 49% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?" is 49% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 49% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.