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Biden predictions & odds

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DOJ releases Biden ghostwriter tapes by...?

DOJ releases Biden ghostwriter tapes by...?

28%

June 30

$239 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

24%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$3M today

$61M Liq.

735

Ends in over 2 years

What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing?

What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing?

78%

President 30+ times

$5.1K Vol.

$687 Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Who will be arrested before 2027?

Who will be arrested before 2027?

47%

John Brennan

$88.3K Vol.

$131K Liq.

4

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

66%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$97.0K Vol.

$50.2K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

20%

Ron DeSantis

$639K Vol.

$623K Liq.

15

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

93%

Elon Musk

$8.2K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 16 days

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

20%

Barack Obama

$13.6K Vol.

$299K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

54%

Stefan Brodie

$218K Vol.

$114K Liq.

16

Ends in 8 months

What will be said on ICEMAN?

What will be said on ICEMAN?

71%

Daddy

$71.8K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

14

Ends in about 7 hours

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

85%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.3K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

White House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

White House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

30%

180-199

$14.0K Vol.

$31.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

17%

$8.6K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

37%

$1.2K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

2

Ends in over 2 years

What will JD Vance say during remarks in Bangor?

What will JD Vance say during remarks in Bangor?

100%

Fraud 3+ times

$2.2K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$581M Vol.

$2M today

$30M Liq.

910

Ends in over 2 years

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

38%

80-99

$10.5K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (May 15)

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (May 15)

93%

Nvidia

$1.7K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

60%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$389K Liq.

74

Ends in over 2 years

What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?

What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?

64%

Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times

$3.1K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 116 active markets for Biden that lets you track or trade on predictions like “DOJ releases Biden ghostwriter tapes by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.7B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 24% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Biden predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.