Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Name: Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Start: 2025-11-18T15:59:41.831922Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z

$78,576 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Stefan Brodie
$5 Vol.
50%

Donald Brodie
$0 Vol.
49%

Matt Gaetz
$5 Vol.
49%

Young Thug
$0 Vol.
47%

Daniel Penny
$0 Vol.
46%

Steve Bannon
$65 Vol.
37%

Julian Assange
$42 Vol.
13%

Martin Shkreli
$329 Vol.
18%

Roger Ver
$112 Vol.
18%

Eric Adams
$33 Vol.
16%

Bob Menendez
$38 Vol.
14%

Keonne Rodriguez
$6,082 Vol.
22%

Derek Chauvin
$1,229 Vol.
11%

Elizabeth Holmes
$36 Vol.
11%

Roger Stone
$258 Vol.
17%

Antoine Massey
$53 Vol.
9%

Edward Snowden
$232 Vol.
9%

Elon Musk
$37,628 Vol.
8%

Ghislaine Maxwell
$1,143 Vol.
8%

Do Kwon
$6,271 Vol.
7%

Ryan Salame
$11,046 Vol.
7%

Nicolas Maduro
$1,497 Vol.
7%

Sam Bankman-Fried
$9,730 Vol.
7%

Diddy
$1,580 Vol.
5%

Himself
$613 Vol.
4%

Hunter Biden
$517 Vol.
4%

Joe Exotic
$33 Vol.
44%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Created At: Nov 18, 2025, 3:46 PM UTC

Volume

$78,576

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Nov 18, 2025, 3:46 PM UTC

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Beware of external links.

$78,576 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Stefan Brodie

$5 Vol.

50%

Donald Brodie

$0 Vol.

49%

Matt Gaetz

$5 Vol.

49%

Young Thug

$0 Vol.

47%

Daniel Penny

$0 Vol.

46%

Steve Bannon

$65 Vol.

37%

Julian Assange

$42 Vol.

13%

Martin Shkreli

$329 Vol.

18%

Roger Ver

$112 Vol.

18%

Eric Adams

$33 Vol.

16%

Bob Menendez

$38 Vol.

14%

Keonne Rodriguez

$6,082 Vol.

22%

Derek Chauvin

$1,229 Vol.

11%

Elizabeth Holmes

$36 Vol.

11%

Roger Stone

$258 Vol.

17%

Antoine Massey

$53 Vol.

Edward Snowden

$232 Vol.

Elon Musk

$37,628 Vol.

Ghislaine Maxwell

$1,143 Vol.

Do Kwon

$6,271 Vol.

Ryan Salame

$11,046 Vol.

Nicolas Maduro

$1,497 Vol.

Sam Bankman-Fried

$9,730 Vol.

Diddy

$1,580 Vol.

Himself

$613 Vol.

Hunter Biden

$517 Vol.

Joe Exotic

$33 Vol.

44%

About

Volume

$78,576

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Nov 18, 2025, 3:46 PM UTC

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?

16%

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

12%

Beware of external links.