Trump's established pattern of incorporating personal commentary into public statements, social media posts, and press interactions drives trader consensus toward elevated probabilities in daily resolution markets of this type. Recent streaks, with most dates since mid-June 2026 resolving yes under the market's criteria for clear personal attacks rather than policy critiques, have reinforced this positioning, as volumes concentrate on high Yes prices for dates with expected activity. Scheduled public remarks, campaign events, or responses to ongoing legislative and international developments within the 24-hour ET window can influence outcomes, while quieter periods occasionally produce No resolutions. Traders monitor primary sources such as official accounts and live coverage for verification against the defined resolution standards.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Aug 1, 2026
August 1
56%
August 2
56%
August 3
56%
August 4
55%
August 5
59%
August 6
58%
August 7
87%
August 8
61%
August 9
56%
August 10
54%
August 11
59%
August 12
58%
August 13
87%
August 14
63%
August 15
58%
August 16
58%
August 17
61%
August 18
55%
August 19
88%
August 20
49%
August 21
49%
August 22
63%
August 23
49%
August 24
49%
August 25
88%
August 26
86%
August 27
58%
August 28
88%
August 29
87%
August 30
49%
August 31
88%
$599 Vol.
August 1
$29 Vol.
56%
August 2
$15 Vol.
56%
August 3
$15 Vol.
56%
August 4
$15 Vol.
55%
August 5
$15 Vol.
59%
August 6
$15 Vol.
58%
August 7
$0 Vol.
87%
August 8
$15 Vol.
61%
August 9
$15 Vol.
56%
August 10
$15 Vol.
54%
August 11
$15 Vol.
59%
August 12
$15 Vol.
58%
August 13
$15 Vol.
87%
August 14
$15 Vol.
63%
August 15
$15 Vol.
58%
August 16
$15 Vol.
58%
August 17
$15 Vol.
61%
August 18
$15 Vol.
55%
August 19
$56 Vol.
88%
August 20
$15 Vol.
49%
August 21
$15 Vol.
49%
August 22
$15 Vol.
63%
August 23
$15 Vol.
49%
August 24
$15 Vol.
49%
August 25
$35 Vol.
88%
August 26
$36 Vol.
86%
August 27
$15 Vol.
58%
August 28
$35 Vol.
88%
August 29
$28 Vol.
87%
August 30
$15 Vol.
49%
August 31
$26 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's established pattern of incorporating personal commentary into public statements, social media posts, and press interactions drives trader consensus toward elevated probabilities in daily resolution markets of this type. Recent streaks, with most dates since mid-June 2026 resolving yes under the market's criteria for clear personal attacks rather than policy critiques, have reinforced this positioning, as volumes concentrate on high Yes prices for dates with expected activity. Scheduled public remarks, campaign events, or responses to ongoing legislative and international developments within the 24-hour ET window can influence outcomes, while quieter periods occasionally produce No resolutions. Traders monitor primary sources such as official accounts and live coverage for verification against the defined resolution standards.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 27, 2026, 11:18 PM ET
Volume
$599End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 11:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's established pattern of incorporating personal commentary into public statements, social media posts, and press interactions drives trader consensus toward elevated probabilities in daily resolution markets of this type. Recent streaks, with most dates since mid-June 2026 resolving yes under the market's criteria for clear personal attacks rather than policy critiques, have reinforced this positioning, as volumes concentrate on high Yes prices for dates with expected activity. Scheduled public remarks, campaign events, or responses to ongoing legislative and international developments within the 24-hour ET window can influence outcomes, while quieter periods occasionally produce No resolutions. Traders monitor primary sources such as official accounts and live coverage for verification against the defined resolution standards.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$599End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 11:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's established pattern of incorporating personal commentary into public statements, social media posts, and press interactions drives trader consensus toward elevated probabilities in daily resolution markets of this type. Recent streaks, with most dates since mid-June 2026 resolving yes under the market's criteria for clear personal attacks rather than policy critiques, have reinforced this positioning, as volumes concentrate on high Yes prices for dates with expected activity. Scheduled public remarks, campaign events, or responses to ongoing legislative and international developments within the 24-hour ET window can influence outcomes, while quieter periods occasionally produce No resolutions. Traders monitor primary sources such as official accounts and live coverage for verification against the defined resolution standards.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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