Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?

Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?

icon for Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?

Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?

NEW
Oct 7, 2026
Polymarket

$6,718 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jensen Huang

Jensen Huang

$905 Vol.

98%

icon for Tim Cook

Tim Cook

$886 Vol.

97%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$930 Vol.

95%

icon for Satya Nadella

Satya Nadella

$1,833 Vol.

91%

icon for Sundar Pichai

Sundar Pichai

$1,147 Vol.

87%

icon for Mark Zuckerberg

Mark Zuckerberg

$80 Vol.

16%

icon for Alex Karp

Alex Karp

$0 Vol.

19%

icon for John Ternus

John Ternus

$28 Vol.

28%

icon for Dario Amodei

Dario Amodei

$47 Vol.

14%

icon for Sam Altman

Sam Altman

$863 Vol.

71%

Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, during which Donald Trump is expected to host a state dinner for him at the White House. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the White House state dinner held for Xi Jinping between market creation and October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the state dinner is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the state dinner. A qualifying state dinner must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe. Attendance at a state dinner which occurred before market creation will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The White House state dinner on September 24 for Chinese President Xi Jinping’s first visit since 2015 centers on U.S.-China technological competition, particularly artificial intelligence capabilities, large language model development, semiconductor export controls, and AI safety standards. Confirmed tech attendees include Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella, NVIDIA’s Jensen Huang, OpenAI’s Sam Altman, Google’s Sundar Pichai, Amazon’s Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk, Apple’s Tim Cook, Qualcomm’s Cristiano Amon, and Dell’s Michael Dell, reflecting trader focus on leaders with direct stakes in AI benchmarks, chip supply chains, and platform ecosystems. The guest list emerged from recent diplomatic announcements following May 2026 talks in Beijing, with AI policy debates—including calls for development pauses and resistance to new regulations—shaping the invite priorities. No major last-minute shifts have been reported days before the event, though seating and final confirmations could still adjust based on ongoing bilateral discussions.

Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, during which Donald Trump is expected to host a state dinner for him at the White House.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the White House state dinner held for Xi Jinping between market creation and October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the state dinner is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the state dinner.

A qualifying state dinner must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe.

Attendance at a state dinner which occurred before market creation will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, during which Donald Trump is expected to host a state dinner for him at the White House. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the White House state dinner held for Xi Jinping between market creation and October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the state dinner is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the state dinner. A qualifying state dinner must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe. Attendance at a state dinner which occurred before market creation will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,718
End Date
Oct 8, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, during which Donald Trump is expected to host a state dinner for him at the White House. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the White House state dinner held for Xi Jinping between market creation and October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the state dinner is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the state dinner. A qualifying state dinner must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe. Attendance at a state dinner which occurred before market creation will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The White House state dinner on September 24 for Chinese President Xi Jinping’s first visit since 2015 centers on U.S.-China technological competition, particularly artificial intelligence capabilities, large language model development, semiconductor export controls, and AI safety standards. Confirmed tech attendees include Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella, NVIDIA’s Jensen Huang, OpenAI’s Sam Altman, Google’s Sundar Pichai, Amazon’s Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk, Apple’s Tim Cook, Qualcomm’s Cristiano Amon, and Dell’s Michael Dell, reflecting trader focus on leaders with direct stakes in AI benchmarks, chip supply chains, and platform ecosystems. The guest list emerged from recent diplomatic announcements following May 2026 talks in Beijing, with AI policy debates—including calls for development pauses and resistance to new regulations—shaping the invite priorities. No major last-minute shifts have been reported days before the event, though seating and final confirmations could still adjust based on ongoing bilateral discussions.

Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, during which Donald Trump is expected to host a state dinner for him at the White House.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the White House state dinner held for Xi Jinping between market creation and October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the state dinner is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the state dinner.

A qualifying state dinner must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe.

Attendance at a state dinner which occurred before market creation will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, during which Donald Trump is expected to host a state dinner for him at the White House. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the White House state dinner held for Xi Jinping between market creation and October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the state dinner is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the state dinner. A qualifying state dinner must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe. Attendance at a state dinner which occurred before market creation will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,718
End Date
Oct 8, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 7:03 PM ET

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jensen Huang" at 98%, followed by "Tim Cook" at 97%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?" is "Jensen Huang" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tim Cook" at 97%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.