Xi Jinping’s confirmed state visit to the United States runs from September 23 to 25 at the invitation of President Donald Trump, with the Chinese leader scheduled to arrive at Joint Base Andrews on the 23rd and complete formal events on the 25th before departing. The White House itinerary places the final activities—including a private tea and visit to the National Archives—on the morning of the 25th, after which Xi and his delegation are set to return to Andrews for departure. China’s Foreign Ministry announced the three-day window on September 21, aligning with the detailed schedule released by U.S. officials. Traders assign an 89% probability to a September 25 departure, reflecting the absence of any reported changes to the program or indications of extension. No other dates show comparable consensus, consistent with the fixed bilateral summit timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSeptember 25 90%
September 26 22%
September 28 4.5%
September 27 5%
September 25
90%
September 26
22%
September 28
5%
September 27
5%
September 29 or later
1%
September 24 or earlier
1%
September 25 90%
September 26 22%
September 28 4.5%
September 27 5%
September 25
90%
September 26
22%
September 28
5%
September 27
5%
September 29 or later
1%
September 24 or earlier
1%
This market will resolve according to the date, in Eastern Time, on which Xi Jinping physically departs from the United States.
Departure is defined as the moment Xi Jinping leaves the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States, or the moment of take-off of an aircraft which contains Xi Jinping and subsequently lands outside of the United States.
If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or has not departed by that date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date, in Eastern Time, on which Xi Jinping physically departs from the United States.
Departure is defined as the moment Xi Jinping leaves the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States, or the moment of take-off of an aircraft which contains Xi Jinping and subsequently lands outside of the United States.
If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or has not departed by that date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Xi Jinping’s confirmed state visit to the United States runs from September 23 to 25 at the invitation of President Donald Trump, with the Chinese leader scheduled to arrive at Joint Base Andrews on the 23rd and complete formal events on the 25th before departing. The White House itinerary places the final activities—including a private tea and visit to the National Archives—on the morning of the 25th, after which Xi and his delegation are set to return to Andrews for departure. China’s Foreign Ministry announced the three-day window on September 21, aligning with the detailed schedule released by U.S. officials. Traders assign an 89% probability to a September 25 departure, reflecting the absence of any reported changes to the program or indications of extension. No other dates show comparable consensus, consistent with the fixed bilateral summit timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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