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When will Xi leave the USA?

icon for When will Xi leave the USA?

When will Xi leave the USA?

September 25 90%

September 26 22%

September 28 4.5%

September 27 5%

Polymarket
NEW

September 25 90%

September 26 22%

September 28 4.5%

September 27 5%

Polymarket
NEW

September 25

$0 Vol.

90%

September 26

$0 Vol.

22%

September 28

$142 Vol.

5%

September 27

$32 Vol.

5%

September 29 or later

$120 Vol.

1%

September 24 or earlier

$26 Vol.

1%

Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House. This market will resolve according to the date, in Eastern Time, on which Xi Jinping physically departs from the United States. Departure is defined as the moment Xi Jinping leaves the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States, or the moment of take-off of an aircraft which contains Xi Jinping and subsequently lands outside of the United States. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or has not departed by that date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Xi Jinping’s confirmed state visit to the United States runs from September 23 to 25 at the invitation of President Donald Trump, with the Chinese leader scheduled to arrive at Joint Base Andrews on the 23rd and complete formal events on the 25th before departing. The White House itinerary places the final activities—including a private tea and visit to the National Archives—on the morning of the 25th, after which Xi and his delegation are set to return to Andrews for departure. China’s Foreign Ministry announced the three-day window on September 21, aligning with the detailed schedule released by U.S. officials. Traders assign an 89% probability to a September 25 departure, reflecting the absence of any reported changes to the program or indications of extension. No other dates show comparable consensus, consistent with the fixed bilateral summit timeline.

Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.

This market will resolve according to the date, in Eastern Time, on which Xi Jinping physically departs from the United States.

Departure is defined as the moment Xi Jinping leaves the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States, or the moment of take-off of an aircraft which contains Xi Jinping and subsequently lands outside of the United States.

If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or has not departed by that date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House. This market will resolve according to the date, in Eastern Time, on which Xi Jinping physically departs from the United States. Departure is defined as the moment Xi Jinping leaves the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States, or the moment of take-off of an aircraft which contains Xi Jinping and subsequently lands outside of the United States. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or has not departed by that date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$320
End Date
Oct 8, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House. This market will resolve according to the date, in Eastern Time, on which Xi Jinping physically departs from the United States. Departure is defined as the moment Xi Jinping leaves the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States, or the moment of take-off of an aircraft which contains Xi Jinping and subsequently lands outside of the United States. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or has not departed by that date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Xi Jinping’s confirmed state visit to the United States runs from September 23 to 25 at the invitation of President Donald Trump, with the Chinese leader scheduled to arrive at Joint Base Andrews on the 23rd and complete formal events on the 25th before departing. The White House itinerary places the final activities—including a private tea and visit to the National Archives—on the morning of the 25th, after which Xi and his delegation are set to return to Andrews for departure. China’s Foreign Ministry announced the three-day window on September 21, aligning with the detailed schedule released by U.S. officials. Traders assign an 89% probability to a September 25 departure, reflecting the absence of any reported changes to the program or indications of extension. No other dates show comparable consensus, consistent with the fixed bilateral summit timeline.

Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.

This market will resolve according to the date, in Eastern Time, on which Xi Jinping physically departs from the United States.

Departure is defined as the moment Xi Jinping leaves the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States, or the moment of take-off of an aircraft which contains Xi Jinping and subsequently lands outside of the United States.

If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or has not departed by that date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House. This market will resolve according to the date, in Eastern Time, on which Xi Jinping physically departs from the United States. Departure is defined as the moment Xi Jinping leaves the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States, or the moment of take-off of an aircraft which contains Xi Jinping and subsequently lands outside of the United States. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or has not departed by that date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$320
End Date
Oct 8, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 6:57 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"When will Xi leave the USA?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "September 25" at 90%, followed by "September 26" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"When will Xi leave the USA?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "When will Xi leave the USA?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "When will Xi leave the USA?" is "September 25" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "September 26" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "When will Xi leave the USA?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.