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Politics·Global Elections

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

icon for Democratic VP Nominee 2028
Politics·Global Elections

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Barack Obama 19.1%

Beto O’Rourke 15.9%

Zohran Mamdani 15.1%

Oprah Winfrey 13.4%

Polymarket

$13,466 Vol.

Barack Obama 19.1%

Beto O’Rourke 15.9%

Zohran Mamdani 15.1%

Oprah Winfrey 13.4%

Polymarket

$13,466 Vol.

Gavin Newsom

$374 Vol.

6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$745 Vol.

11%

Pete Buttigieg

$206 Vol.

9%

Josh Shapiro

$536 Vol.

3%

Wes Moore

$241 Vol.

3%

Stephen A. Smith

$199 Vol.

3%

Kamala Harris

$153 Vol.

1%

Gretchen Whitmer

$326 Vol.

10%

Andy Beshear

$366 Vol.

3%

Jon Ossoff

$571 Vol.

4%

Mark Cuban

$442 Vol.

3%

J.B. Pritzker

$152 Vol.

<1%

Raphael Warnock

$132 Vol.

4%

Cory Booker

$239 Vol.

1%

Tim Walz

$600 Vol.

3%

Michelle Obama

$826 Vol.

3%

Mark Kelly

$665 Vol.

3%

Rahm Emanuel

$298 Vol.

<1%

Gina Raimondo

$210 Vol.

1%

Zohran Mamdani

$576 Vol.

15%

Roy Cooper

$203 Vol.

1%

John Fetterman

$343 Vol.

1%

Jared Polis

$192 Vol.

5%

Jon Stewart

$328 Vol.

<1%

Barack Obama

$502 Vol.

19%

Hillary Clinton

$192 Vol.

4%

Liz Cheney

$183 Vol.

4%

Bernie Sanders

$269 Vol.

8%

Phil Murphy

$192 Vol.

6%

LeBron James

$153 Vol.

1%

Hunter Biden

$362 Vol.

1%

George Clooney

$130 Vol.

11%

Chelsea Clinton

$94 Vol.

12%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$213 Vol.

2%

Oprah Winfrey

$94 Vol.

13%

Andrew Yang

$192 Vol.

4%

Beto O’Rourke

$200 Vol.

16%

Kim Kardashian

$94 Vol.

12%

Chris Murphy

$371 Vol.

<1%

Ruben Gallego

$171 Vol.

6%

Ro Khanna

$541 Vol.

8%

James Talarico

$414 Vol.

6%

Elissa Slotkin

$172 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Barack Obama as the narrow leader at 23.4% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic vice presidential nomination, driven by unmatched name recognition despite constitutional barriers under the 22nd Amendment limiting two-term presidents from VP eligibility. Zohran Mamdani's 15.7% follows his recent NYC mayoral successes, including a record $125 billion city budget unveiling and housing initiatives that elevate his progressive profile post-2025 election win. Chelsea Clinton at 13%, alongside celebrities George Clooney and Kim Kardashian near 12%, reflect bets on star power to boost turnout amid a fragmented field lacking a clear presidential frontrunner. This tight clustering underscores early-stage uncertainty, with 2026 midterms, endorsements, and emerging primary dynamics poised to create separation by signaling ticket balance for demographics, ideology, or swing-state appeal.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$13,466
End Date
Aug 10, 2028
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Barack Obama as the narrow leader at 23.4% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic vice presidential nomination, driven by unmatched name recognition despite constitutional barriers under the 22nd Amendment limiting two-term presidents from VP eligibility. Zohran Mamdani's 15.7% follows his recent NYC mayoral successes, including a record $125 billion city budget unveiling and housing initiatives that elevate his progressive profile post-2025 election win. Chelsea Clinton at 13%, alongside celebrities George Clooney and Kim Kardashian near 12%, reflect bets on star power to boost turnout amid a fragmented field lacking a clear presidential frontrunner. This tight clustering underscores early-stage uncertainty, with 2026 midterms, endorsements, and emerging primary dynamics poised to create separation by signaling ticket balance for demographics, ideology, or swing-state appeal.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$13,466
End Date
Aug 10, 2028
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic VP Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 43+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Barack Obama" at 19%, followed by "Beto O’Rourke" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic VP Nominee 2028" has generated $13.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic VP Nominee 2028," browse the 43+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic VP Nominee 2028" is "Barack Obama" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Beto O’Rourke" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic VP Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.