Recent acquisition talks between Stripe, Advent International, and PayPal represent the primary catalyst supporting the 55.5% market-implied probability of a partial or full deal in 2026. Stripe and Advent submitted a $60.50-per-share all-cash bid in July valuing PayPal at over $53 billion, which the board rejected as inadequate, though negotiations for a higher price continue with reports of potential closure in coming weeks. Earlier February expressions of interest in acquiring assets or the full company, combined with PayPal’s revenue pressures and Stripe’s $159 billion valuation, have sustained trader consensus around a transaction. Key near-term catalysts include any revised offer acceptance, regulatory reviews, or financing commitments, while price gaps and antitrust scrutiny introduce downside risks to the current odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated56% chance
$71,825 Vol.
$71,825 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
56% chance
$71,825 Vol.
$71,825 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent acquisition talks between Stripe, Advent International, and PayPal represent the primary catalyst supporting the 55.5% market-implied probability of a partial or full deal in 2026. Stripe and Advent submitted a $60.50-per-share all-cash bid in July valuing PayPal at over $53 billion, which the board rejected as inadequate, though negotiations for a higher price continue with reports of potential closure in coming weeks. Earlier February expressions of interest in acquiring assets or the full company, combined with PayPal’s revenue pressures and Stripe’s $159 billion valuation, have sustained trader consensus around a transaction. Key near-term catalysts include any revised offer acceptance, regulatory reviews, or financing commitments, while price gaps and antitrust scrutiny introduce downside risks to the current odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$71,825End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent acquisition talks between Stripe, Advent International, and PayPal represent the primary catalyst supporting the 55.5% market-implied probability of a partial or full deal in 2026. Stripe and Advent submitted a $60.50-per-share all-cash bid in July valuing PayPal at over $53 billion, which the board rejected as inadequate, though negotiations for a higher price continue with reports of potential closure in coming weeks. Earlier February expressions of interest in acquiring assets or the full company, combined with PayPal’s revenue pressures and Stripe’s $159 billion valuation, have sustained trader consensus around a transaction. Key near-term catalysts include any revised offer acceptance, regulatory reviews, or financing commitments, while price gaps and antitrust scrutiny introduce downside risks to the current odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$71,825End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent acquisition talks between Stripe, Advent International, and PayPal represent the primary catalyst supporting the 55.5% market-implied probability of a partial or full deal in 2026. Stripe and Advent submitted a $60.50-per-share all-cash bid in July valuing PayPal at over $53 billion, which the board rejected as inadequate, though negotiations for a higher price continue with reports of potential closure in coming weeks. Earlier February expressions of interest in acquiring assets or the full company, combined with PayPal’s revenue pressures and Stripe’s $159 billion valuation, have sustained trader consensus around a transaction. Key near-term catalysts include any revised offer acceptance, regulatory reviews, or financing commitments, while price gaps and antitrust scrutiny introduce downside risks to the current odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions