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Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?

icon for Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?

Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?

<1% chance
Polymarket
NEW
<1% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Powerball jackpot is equal to or greater than $1 billion on any drawing between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Powerball jackpot currently sits at an estimated $86 million following the May 13 rollover, far below the threshold needed to reach $1 billion before May 31. With only a handful of draws left in the month, even an unprecedented streak of no winners would add far less than the required growth, as jackpots typically climb by tens of millions per drawing rather than hundreds. Traders have priced in this reality with near-certainty, reflecting the steady, incremental pace of recent rollovers and the absence of any sudden surge in sales or anomalies that could accelerate the climb. The slim chance of an upset would require multiple consecutive record-setting no-wins paired with explosive ticket demand, a scenario that has never materialized in such a compressed window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Powerball jackpot is equal to or greater than $1 billion on any drawing between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,941
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 9, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Powerball jackpot is equal to or greater than $1 billion on any drawing between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Powerball jackpot is equal to or greater than $1 billion on any drawing between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Powerball jackpot currently sits at an estimated $86 million following the May 13 rollover, far below the threshold needed to reach $1 billion before May 31. With only a handful of draws left in the month, even an unprecedented streak of no winners would add far less than the required growth, as jackpots typically climb by tens of millions per drawing rather than hundreds. Traders have priced in this reality with near-certainty, reflecting the steady, incremental pace of recent rollovers and the absence of any sudden surge in sales or anomalies that could accelerate the climb. The slim chance of an upset would require multiple consecutive record-setting no-wins paired with explosive ticket demand, a scenario that has never materialized in such a compressed window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Powerball jackpot is equal to or greater than $1 billion on any drawing between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,941
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 9, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Powerball jackpot is equal to or greater than $1 billion on any drawing between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.