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Geopolitics·Supreme Leader

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

icon for Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
Geopolitics·Supreme Leader

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

$432,477 Vol.

May 31, 2026
Polymarket

$432,477 Vol.

Polymarket

May 31

$671 Vol.

2%

June 30

$38,990 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating US-Iran tensions in the ongoing conflict, Mojtaba Khamenei ascended as Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following his father's death, prompting President Trump's public skepticism about his health and visibility—"nobody's seen him"—while overseeing US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets. Trump has confirmed negotiations with Iranian officials are progressing, describing them as "going very well" as of mid-April, but explicitly denied direct contact with Khamenei, stating the US engages a "top person" excluding the supreme leader. Early May reports highlight fragile ceasefire talks, with Khamenei vowing to protect nuclear and missile capabilities. No verified direct talks have occurred, anchoring trader consensus on low implied probabilities amid war risks and diplomatic posturing; battlefield developments or negotiation breakthroughs could shift odds before resolution deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$432,477
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating US-Iran tensions in the ongoing conflict, Mojtaba Khamenei ascended as Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following his father's death, prompting President Trump's public skepticism about his health and visibility—"nobody's seen him"—while overseeing US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets. Trump has confirmed negotiations with Iranian officials are progressing, describing them as "going very well" as of mid-April, but explicitly denied direct contact with Khamenei, stating the US engages a "top person" excluding the supreme leader. Early May reports highlight fragile ceasefire talks, with Khamenei vowing to protect nuclear and missile capabilities. No verified direct talks have occurred, anchoring trader consensus on low implied probabilities amid war risks and diplomatic posturing; battlefield developments or negotiation breakthroughs could shift odds before resolution deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$432,477
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "May 31" at 2%, followed by "June 30" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 2¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 2% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?" has generated $432.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?" is "May 31" at just 2%, with "June 30" close behind at 2%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.