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Sports·WNBA

WNBA: 2026 MVP

icon for WNBA: 2026 MVP
Sports·WNBA

WNBA: 2026 MVP

Sabrina Ionescu 44.0%

Breanna Stewart 40.9%

Caitlin Clark 28%

Paige Bueckers 25.7%

Polymarket
NEW

Sabrina Ionescu 44.0%

Breanna Stewart 40.9%

Caitlin Clark 28%

Paige Bueckers 25.7%

Polymarket
NEW

Sabrina Ionescu

$80 Vol.

44%

Breanna Stewart

$80 Vol.

41%

Caitlin Clark

$168 Vol.

27%

Paige Bueckers

$140 Vol.

26%

Kelsey Plum

$140 Vol.

25%

Gabby Williams

$140 Vol.

25%

Nneka Ogwumike

$140 Vol.

25%

Jackie Young

$140 Vol.

25%

Allisha Gray

$80 Vol.

25%

Napheesa Collier

$178 Vol.

20%

Alyssa Thomas

$173 Vol.

26%

Rhyne Howard

$0 Vol.

<1%

Satou Sabally

$0 Vol.

<1%

A'ja Wilson

$140 Vol.

43%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities among Sabrina Ionescu, A'ja Wilson, and Breanna Stewart reflects the wide-open nature of the 2026 WNBA MVP race as the regular season begins. Wilson enters as the defending multi-time winner with elite scoring, rebounding, and defensive impact for the Aces, while Stewart brings championship experience and consistent production for the Liberty. Ionescu's high placement stems from her playmaking and shooting efficiency in a competitive Liberty lineup. Healthy returns for Caitlin Clark and emerging roles for Paige Bueckers, Alyssa Thomas, and others create multiple viable paths, with recent team form, head-to-head results, and injury management poised to shift trader consensus rapidly in the opening weeks.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,599
End Date
Sep 25, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities among Sabrina Ionescu, A'ja Wilson, and Breanna Stewart reflects the wide-open nature of the 2026 WNBA MVP race as the regular season begins. Wilson enters as the defending multi-time winner with elite scoring, rebounding, and defensive impact for the Aces, while Stewart brings championship experience and consistent production for the Liberty. Ionescu's high placement stems from her playmaking and shooting efficiency in a competitive Liberty lineup. Healthy returns for Caitlin Clark and emerging roles for Paige Bueckers, Alyssa Thomas, and others create multiple viable paths, with recent team form, head-to-head results, and injury management poised to shift trader consensus rapidly in the opening weeks.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,599
End Date
Sep 25, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"WNBA: 2026 MVP" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sabrina Ionescu" at 44%, followed by "A'ja Wilson" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"WNBA: 2026 MVP" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "WNBA: 2026 MVP," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "WNBA: 2026 MVP" is "Sabrina Ionescu" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "A'ja Wilson" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "WNBA: 2026 MVP" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.