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Sports·Soccer

World Cup Finals: Player to Miss Penalty

icon for World Cup Finals: Player to Miss Penalty
Sports·Soccer

World Cup Finals: Player to Miss Penalty

NEW
Jul 19, 2026
Polymarket

$236 Vol.

Polymarket

Marc Pubill

$0 Vol.

99%

Giuliano Simeone

$0 Vol.

99%

Joan García

$83 Vol.

98%

Unai Simón

$69 Vol.

98%

Juan Musso

$83 Vol.

98%

Gerónimo Rulli

$78 Vol.

98%

Emiliano Martínez

$83 Vol.

98%

Pau Cubarsí

$0 Vol.

50%

Marc Cucurella

$0 Vol.

50%

Fabián Ruiz

$0 Vol.

50%

Álex Baena

$0 Vol.

50%

Martín Zubimendi

$0 Vol.

50%

Pedri

$0 Vol.

50%

Dani Olmo

$0 Vol.

50%

Lamine Yamal

$0 Vol.

50%

Mikel Oyarzabal

$0 Vol.

50%

Enzo Fernández

$0 Vol.

50%

Álex Grimaldo

$0 Vol.

50%

Eric García

$0 Vol.

50%

Marcos Llorente

$0 Vol.

50%

Pedro Porro

$0 Vol.

50%

Aymeric Laporte

$0 Vol.

50%

Mikel Merino

$0 Vol.

50%

Gavi

$0 Vol.

50%

Ferran Torres

$0 Vol.

50%

Julián Álvarez

$0 Vol.

50%

Lionel Messi

$0 Vol.

50%

José Manuel López

$0 Vol.

5%

Leandro Paredes

$0 Vol.

5%

Rodrigo De Paul

$0 Vol.

5%

Lautaro Martínez

$0 Vol.

5%

Yeremy Pino

$0 Vol.

5%

Nico Williams

$0 Vol.

5%

Víctor Muñoz

$0 Vol.

5%

Borja Iglesias

$0 Vol.

5%

Marcos Senesi

$0 Vol.

5%

Nicolás Tagliafico

$0 Vol.

5%

Gonzalo Montiel

$0 Vol.

5%

Lisandro Martínez

$0 Vol.

5%

Cristian Romero

$0 Vol.

5%

Nicolás Otamendi

$0 Vol.

5%

Facundo Medina

$0 Vol.

5%

Nahuel Molina

$0 Vol.

5%

Valentín Barco

$0 Vol.

5%

Giovani Lo Celso

$0 Vol.

5%

Exequiel Palacios

$0 Vol.

5%

Nico González

$0 Vol.

5%

Alexis Mac Allister

$0 Vol.

5%

Thiago Almada

$0 Vol.

5%

Nico Paz

$0 Vol.

5%

Rodri

$137 Vol.

4%

David Raya

$19 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player misses a penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Argentina and Spain. Otherwise the corresponding market will resolve "No". Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup final between defending champions Argentina and Spain at MetLife Stadium on July 19 carries elevated pressure that historically influences penalty conversion rates in shootouts or open play. Multiple knockout-stage matches have already reached extra time and penalties, with conversion struggles evident across several ties. Lionel Messi’s recent misses from the spot—including multiple attempts during the tournament—highlight individual form under scrutiny, though Argentina’s attacking depth and Spain’s defensive organization shape expectations. Weather, fatigue from the expanded 48-team schedule, and last-minute lineup adjustments remain variables that could alter set-piece execution or force decisive kicks. Trader consensus reflects these situational dynamics ahead of the match.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player misses a penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Argentina and Spain. Otherwise the corresponding market will resolve "No".

Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$236
End Date
Jul 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player misses a penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Argentina and Spain. Otherwise the corresponding market will resolve "No". Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player misses a penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Argentina and Spain. Otherwise the corresponding market will resolve "No". Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup final between defending champions Argentina and Spain at MetLife Stadium on July 19 carries elevated pressure that historically influences penalty conversion rates in shootouts or open play. Multiple knockout-stage matches have already reached extra time and penalties, with conversion struggles evident across several ties. Lionel Messi’s recent misses from the spot—including multiple attempts during the tournament—highlight individual form under scrutiny, though Argentina’s attacking depth and Spain’s defensive organization shape expectations. Weather, fatigue from the expanded 48-team schedule, and last-minute lineup adjustments remain variables that could alter set-piece execution or force decisive kicks. Trader consensus reflects these situational dynamics ahead of the match.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player misses a penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Argentina and Spain. Otherwise the corresponding market will resolve "No".

Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$236
End Date
Jul 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player misses a penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Argentina and Spain. Otherwise the corresponding market will resolve "No". Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup Finals: Player to Miss Penalty" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 52+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marc Pubill" at 50%, followed by "Giuliano Simeone" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"World Cup Finals: Player to Miss Penalty" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "World Cup Finals: Player to Miss Penalty," browse the 52+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup Finals: Player to Miss Penalty" is "Marc Pubill" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Giuliano Simeone" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup Finals: Player to Miss Penalty" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.