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World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals

icon for World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals

World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals

$2,213,554 Vol.

Polymarket

$2,213,554 Vol.

Polymarket

Argentina

$220,173 Vol.

83%

France

$191,782 Vol.

67%

England

$89,632 Vol.

62%

Spain

$235,160 Vol.

60%

Netherlands

$90,080 Vol.

52%

Colombia

$33,877 Vol.

50%

Brazil

$54,895 Vol.

50%

USA

$152,459 Vol.

49%

Norway

$55,341 Vol.

32%

Germany

$41,026 Vol.

30%

Switzerland

$14,037 Vol.

30%

Belgium

$76,660 Vol.

30%

Morocco

$41,519 Vol.

28%

Portugal

$284,525 Vol.

28%

Mexico

$83,160 Vol.

28%

Senegal

$18,135 Vol.

19%

Canada

$13,324 Vol.

18%

Japan

$83,547 Vol.

15%

Ghana

$10,368 Vol.

12%

Ecuador

$26,506 Vol.

11%

Ivory Coast

$31,461 Vol.

11%

Croatia

$8,598 Vol.

10%

Egypt

$36,766 Vol.

10%

Algeria

$2,846 Vol.

10%

Australia

$4,274 Vol.

8%

Sweden

$4,069 Vol.

6%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$5,528 Vol.

6%

DR Congo

$7,294 Vol.

4%

Austria

$6,677 Vol.

4%

South Africa

$4,416 Vol.

3%

Paraguay

$5,550 Vol.

2%

Cape Verde

$35,893 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 48-team format, with 12 groups of four advancing the top two plus eight best third-placed sides to a 32-team knockout stage, has intensified early group-stage competition as of mid-June 2026. Standings after matchday one show tight races in several groups, including draws across Groups G and H that leave qualification wide open, while early winners like Mexico and South Korea in Group A hold narrow leads. Traditional powers such as Brazil, Germany, England, and Argentina benefit from squad depth and recent international form, though host nations gain from home venues and shorter travel. Key upcoming factors include remaining group fixtures through June 27, potential injuries to star players, and how third-place tiebreakers (goal difference, goals scored) resolve the eight additional knockout berths, with round-of-32 and round-of-16 results determining quarterfinalists by July 11.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,213,554
Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 48-team format, with 12 groups of four advancing the top two plus eight best third-placed sides to a 32-team knockout stage, has intensified early group-stage competition as of mid-June 2026. Standings after matchday one show tight races in several groups, including draws across Groups G and H that leave qualification wide open, while early winners like Mexico and South Korea in Group A hold narrow leads. Traditional powers such as Brazil, Germany, England, and Argentina benefit from squad depth and recent international form, though host nations gain from home venues and shorter travel. Key upcoming factors include remaining group fixtures through June 27, potential injuries to star players, and how third-place tiebreakers (goal difference, goals scored) resolve the eight additional knockout berths, with round-of-32 and round-of-16 results determining quarterfinalists by July 11.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,213,554
Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Argentina" at 83%, followed by "France" at 67%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals" has generated $2.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals" is "Argentina" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 67%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.