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Sports·Soccer

World Cup: Semifinals Exact Matchup

icon for World Cup: Semifinals Exact Matchup
Sports·Soccer

World Cup: Semifinals Exact Matchup

FRA vs ESP / ENG vs ARG 28%

FRA vs ESP / NOR vs ARG 20%

FRA vs ESP / ENG vs SUI 14%

FRA vs ESP / NOR vs SUI 10%

Polymarket
NEW

FRA vs ESP / ENG vs ARG 28%

FRA vs ESP / NOR vs ARG 20%

FRA vs ESP / ENG vs SUI 14%

FRA vs ESP / NOR vs SUI 10%

Polymarket
NEW

FRA vs ESP / ENG vs ARG

$80 Vol.

28%

FRA vs ESP / NOR vs ARG

$0 Vol.

20%

FRA vs ESP / ENG vs SUI

$40 Vol.

14%

FRA vs ESP / NOR vs SUI

$0 Vol.

10%

FRA vs BEL / ENG vs SUI

$0 Vol.

10%

FRA vs BEL / ENG vs ARG

$0 Vol.

9%

FRA vs BEL / NOR vs ARG

$0 Vol.

8%

MAR vs ESP / ENG vs ARG

$0 Vol.

5%

MAR vs BEL / ENG vs ARG

$0 Vol.

5%

FRA vs BEL / NOR vs SUI

$0 Vol.

5%

MAR vs ESP / NOR vs SUI

$0 Vol.

5%

MAR vs ESP / NOR vs ARG

$0 Vol.

5%

MAR vs BEL / NOR vs ARG

$0 Vol.

4%

MAR vs ESP / ENG vs SUI

$0 Vol.

4%

MAR vs BEL / ENG vs SUI

$0 Vol.

4%

MAR vs BEL / NOR vs SUI

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve in favor of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchups determined by the teams that advance from the Quarterfinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed matchup to occur in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup quarterfinals feature tightly contested brackets with France facing Morocco, Spain against Belgium, Norway taking on England, and Argentina versus Switzerland, leaving multiple advancement paths open. These matchups pit established powers against in-form challengers, including recent deep runs by Morocco and emerging strength from Norway, producing balanced implied probabilities across numerous semifinal combinations. Trader pricing reflects this parity, with several exact pairings clustered near even odds and "other" outcomes similarly positioned, underscoring the bracket's inherent unpredictability heading into the final four.

This market will resolve in favor of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchups determined by the teams that advance from the Quarterfinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed matchup to occur in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$120
Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchups determined by the teams that advance from the Quarterfinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed matchup to occur in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchups determined by the teams that advance from the Quarterfinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed matchup to occur in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup quarterfinals feature tightly contested brackets with France facing Morocco, Spain against Belgium, Norway taking on England, and Argentina versus Switzerland, leaving multiple advancement paths open. These matchups pit established powers against in-form challengers, including recent deep runs by Morocco and emerging strength from Norway, producing balanced implied probabilities across numerous semifinal combinations. Trader pricing reflects this parity, with several exact pairings clustered near even odds and "other" outcomes similarly positioned, underscoring the bracket's inherent unpredictability heading into the final four.

This market will resolve in favor of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchups determined by the teams that advance from the Quarterfinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed matchup to occur in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$120
Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchups determined by the teams that advance from the Quarterfinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed matchup to occur in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Semifinals Exact Matchup" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "FRA vs ESP / ENG vs ARG" at 28%, followed by "FRA vs ESP / NOR vs ARG" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"World Cup: Semifinals Exact Matchup" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "World Cup: Semifinals Exact Matchup," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Semifinals Exact Matchup" is "FRA vs ESP / ENG vs ARG" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "FRA vs ESP / NOR vs ARG" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Semifinals Exact Matchup" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.