Recent May 2026 data showing a 2.1% month-over-month slowdown in Argentine consumer prices—below expectations—while the year-over-year rate edged to 33.6% has kept trader consensus split between the sub-20% and 30.0-34.9% bands for 2026 annual inflation. Analyst projections from the IMF, OECD, and Reuters polls cluster near 29-31%, reflecting ongoing disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal balance and monetary tightening, tempered by price inertia and relative adjustments. The near-even implied probabilities highlight uncertainty over whether monthly momentum sustains toward lower teens or stalls amid sticky services and external risks, with resolution hinging on forthcoming INDEC prints and central bank policy signals through year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour30,0-34,9 % 28.5%
25-29,9 % 21%
20-24,9 % 11.2%
<20 % 10.1%
$11,078 Vol.
$11,078 Vol.
10 janv. 2027
<20 %
10%
20-24,9 %
11%
25-29,9 %
21%
30,0-34,9 %
29%
35–39,9 %
9%
40-44,9 %
6%
45 %+
4%
30,0-34,9 % 28.5%
25-29,9 % 21%
20-24,9 % 11.2%
<20 % 10.1%
$11,078 Vol.
$11,078 Vol.
10 janv. 2027
<20 %
$2,804 Vol.
10%
20-24,9 %
$1,466 Vol.
11%
25-29,9 %
$1,705 Vol.
21%
30,0-34,9 %
$1,261 Vol.
29%
35–39,9 %
$1,405 Vol.
9%
40-44,9 %
$1,102 Vol.
6%
45 %+
$1,334 Vol.
4%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent May 2026 data showing a 2.1% month-over-month slowdown in Argentine consumer prices—below expectations—while the year-over-year rate edged to 33.6% has kept trader consensus split between the sub-20% and 30.0-34.9% bands for 2026 annual inflation. Analyst projections from the IMF, OECD, and Reuters polls cluster near 29-31%, reflecting ongoing disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal balance and monetary tightening, tempered by price inertia and relative adjustments. The near-even implied probabilities highlight uncertainty over whether monthly momentum sustains toward lower teens or stalls amid sticky services and external risks, with resolution hinging on forthcoming INDEC prints and central bank policy signals through year-end.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volume
$11,078Date de fin
10 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent May 2026 data showing a 2.1% month-over-month slowdown in Argentine consumer prices—below expectations—while the year-over-year rate edged to 33.6% has kept trader consensus split between the sub-20% and 30.0-34.9% bands for 2026 annual inflation. Analyst projections from the IMF, OECD, and Reuters polls cluster near 29-31%, reflecting ongoing disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal balance and monetary tightening, tempered by price inertia and relative adjustments. The near-even implied probabilities highlight uncertainty over whether monthly momentum sustains toward lower teens or stalls amid sticky services and external risks, with resolution hinging on forthcoming INDEC prints and central bank policy signals through year-end.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$11,078Date de fin
10 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent May 2026 data showing a 2.1% month-over-month slowdown in Argentine consumer prices—below expectations—while the year-over-year rate edged to 33.6% has kept trader consensus split between the sub-20% and 30.0-34.9% bands for 2026 annual inflation. Analyst projections from the IMF, OECD, and Reuters polls cluster near 29-31%, reflecting ongoing disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal balance and monetary tightening, tempered by price inertia and relative adjustments. The near-even implied probabilities highlight uncertainty over whether monthly momentum sustains toward lower teens or stalls amid sticky services and external risks, with resolution hinging on forthcoming INDEC prints and central bank policy signals through year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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