Elon Musk's steady posting cadence on X over the past three days has anchored trader consensus around the 90-114 range, with his typical mix of replies, quotes, and original commentary on Tesla FSD, Grok features, and political topics keeping daily volume near 45 posts. Trackers show roughly 89 tweets logged through midday August 22, placing the period on track for the frontrunner bucket without an extreme late surge or sudden quiet period. Historical short-window patterns and the absence of major breaking events that usually trigger posting spikes reinforce the market's near-certain pricing. An upset into higher brackets would require a sustained flurry of activity through the final hours, while a sharp drop-off could push the total below 90.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour90-114 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
$1,030,071 Vol.
$1,030,071 Vol.
22 août 2026
<40
Non
40-64
Non
65-89
Non
90-114
Oui
115-139
Non
140-164
Non
165-189
Non
190-214
Non
215-239
Non
240+
Non
90-114 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
$1,030,071 Vol.
$1,030,071 Vol.
22 août 2026
<40
$86,250 Vol.
Non
40-64
$95,869 Vol.
Non
65-89
$186,085 Vol.
Non
90-114
$139,873 Vol.
Oui
115-139
$258,901 Vol.
Non
140-164
$150,215 Vol.
Non
165-189
$64,248 Vol.
Non
190-214
$15,704 Vol.
Non
215-239
$14,122 Vol.
Non
240+
$18,803 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's steady posting cadence on X over the past three days has anchored trader consensus around the 90-114 range, with his typical mix of replies, quotes, and original commentary on Tesla FSD, Grok features, and political topics keeping daily volume near 45 posts. Trackers show roughly 89 tweets logged through midday August 22, placing the period on track for the frontrunner bucket without an extreme late surge or sudden quiet period. Historical short-window patterns and the absence of major breaking events that usually trigger posting spikes reinforce the market's near-certain pricing. An upset into higher brackets would require a sustained flurry of activity through the final hours, while a sharp drop-off could push the total below 90.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$1,030,071Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's steady posting cadence on X over the past three days has anchored trader consensus around the 90-114 range, with his typical mix of replies, quotes, and original commentary on Tesla FSD, Grok features, and political topics keeping daily volume near 45 posts. Trackers show roughly 89 tweets logged through midday August 22, placing the period on track for the frontrunner bucket without an extreme late surge or sudden quiet period. Historical short-window patterns and the absence of major breaking events that usually trigger posting spikes reinforce the market's near-certain pricing. An upset into higher brackets would require a sustained flurry of activity through the final hours, while a sharp drop-off could push the total below 90.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,030,071Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Elon Musk's steady posting cadence on X over the past three days has anchored trader consensus around the 90-114 range, with his typical mix of replies, quotes, and original commentary on Tesla FSD, Grok features, and political topics keeping daily volume near 45 posts. Trackers show roughly 89 tweets logged through midday August 22, placing the period on track for the frontrunner bucket without an extreme late surge or sudden quiet period. Historical short-window patterns and the absence of major breaking events that usually trigger posting spikes reinforce the market's near-certain pricing. An upset into higher brackets would require a sustained flurry of activity through the final hours, while a sharp drop-off could push the total below 90.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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