Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, often 15–25 posts daily outside major events, anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 range for the three-day window. Recent activity on August 8 featured steady replies and commentary on Starlink revenue projections and Boring Company updates without the volume spikes tied to launches, earnings calls, or viral controversies that have previously pushed weekly totals above 200. With no imminent high-profile catalysts through August 10 and markets reflecting real-money assessments of baseline engagement patterns, the 64.5% implied probability on 40–64 captures expectations of moderate but consistent output, while lower and higher buckets price in quieter or busier deviations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour40-64 65%
<40 25%
65-89 11%
90-114 1.0%
$218,622 Vol.
$218,622 Vol.
10 août 2026
<40
25%
40-64
65%
65-89
11%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 65%
<40 25%
65-89 11%
90-114 1.0%
$218,622 Vol.
$218,622 Vol.
10 août 2026
<40
$40,357 Vol.
25%
40-64
$21,994 Vol.
65%
65-89
$38,490 Vol.
11%
90-114
$49,139 Vol.
1%
115-139
$28,082 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$14,116 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$11,580 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$3,943 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$5,406 Vol.
<1%
240+
$5,514 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, often 15–25 posts daily outside major events, anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 range for the three-day window. Recent activity on August 8 featured steady replies and commentary on Starlink revenue projections and Boring Company updates without the volume spikes tied to launches, earnings calls, or viral controversies that have previously pushed weekly totals above 200. With no imminent high-profile catalysts through August 10 and markets reflecting real-money assessments of baseline engagement patterns, the 64.5% implied probability on 40–64 captures expectations of moderate but consistent output, while lower and higher buckets price in quieter or busier deviations.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$218,622Date de fin
10 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, often 15–25 posts daily outside major events, anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 range for the three-day window. Recent activity on August 8 featured steady replies and commentary on Starlink revenue projections and Boring Company updates without the volume spikes tied to launches, earnings calls, or viral controversies that have previously pushed weekly totals above 200. With no imminent high-profile catalysts through August 10 and markets reflecting real-money assessments of baseline engagement patterns, the 64.5% implied probability on 40–64 captures expectations of moderate but consistent output, while lower and higher buckets price in quieter or busier deviations.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$218,622Date de fin
10 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, often 15–25 posts daily outside major events, anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 range for the three-day window. Recent activity on August 8 featured steady replies and commentary on Starlink revenue projections and Boring Company updates without the volume spikes tied to launches, earnings calls, or viral controversies that have previously pushed weekly totals above 200. With no imminent high-profile catalysts through August 10 and markets reflecting real-money assessments of baseline engagement patterns, the 64.5% implied probability on 40–64 captures expectations of moderate but consistent output, while lower and higher buckets price in quieter or busier deviations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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