Recent developments in Elon Musk’s ongoing lawsuit against Sam Altman and OpenAI, including closing arguments concluded on May 14, 2026, reinforce trader consensus that a $10 billion-plus settlement is unlikely. The case centers on allegations that OpenAI abandoned its original nonprofit mission for commercial large language model development, yet the presiding judge has highlighted statute-of-limitations hurdles that could trigger a directed verdict against Musk. Testimony from Altman and others has underscored internal disagreements over for-profit transition without clear evidence of the massive damages sought. While a favorable jury finding or surprise settlement offer could still shift outcomes, current court dynamics and OpenAI’s continued operations make such a high-value resolution improbable in the near term.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$79,584 Vol.
$79,584 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$79,584 Vol.
$79,584 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Elon Musk’s ongoing lawsuit against Sam Altman and OpenAI, including closing arguments concluded on May 14, 2026, reinforce trader consensus that a $10 billion-plus settlement is unlikely. The case centers on allegations that OpenAI abandoned its original nonprofit mission for commercial large language model development, yet the presiding judge has highlighted statute-of-limitations hurdles that could trigger a directed verdict against Musk. Testimony from Altman and others has underscored internal disagreements over for-profit transition without clear evidence of the massive damages sought. While a favorable jury finding or surprise settlement offer could still shift outcomes, current court dynamics and OpenAI’s continued operations make such a high-value resolution improbable in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 27, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
Volume
$79,584Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Elon Musk’s ongoing lawsuit against Sam Altman and OpenAI, including closing arguments concluded on May 14, 2026, reinforce trader consensus that a $10 billion-plus settlement is unlikely. The case centers on allegations that OpenAI abandoned its original nonprofit mission for commercial large language model development, yet the presiding judge has highlighted statute-of-limitations hurdles that could trigger a directed verdict against Musk. Testimony from Altman and others has underscored internal disagreements over for-profit transition without clear evidence of the massive damages sought. While a favorable jury finding or surprise settlement offer could still shift outcomes, current court dynamics and OpenAI’s continued operations make such a high-value resolution improbable in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$79,584Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments in Elon Musk’s ongoing lawsuit against Sam Altman and OpenAI, including closing arguments concluded on May 14, 2026, reinforce trader consensus that a $10 billion-plus settlement is unlikely. The case centers on allegations that OpenAI abandoned its original nonprofit mission for commercial large language model development, yet the presiding judge has highlighted statute-of-limitations hurdles that could trigger a directed verdict against Musk. Testimony from Altman and others has underscored internal disagreements over for-profit transition without clear evidence of the massive damages sought. While a favorable jury finding or surprise settlement offer could still shift outcomes, current court dynamics and OpenAI’s continued operations make such a high-value resolution improbable in the near term.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes