Israeli naval forces have repeatedly enforced the Gaza blockade by intercepting civilian aid vessels in international waters, as seen in the April 30 raid on the Global Sumud Flotilla near Crete that disabled multiple boats and detained over 175 activists. A regrouped fleet of more than 50 vessels departed southern Turkey on May 14 to resume the mission, yet historical precedent shows such attempts consistently halted before reaching Israeli territorial waters. Traders assign 62.5% probability to the flotilla failing to enter those waters by the May 31 deadline, reflecting the blockade's sustained operational effectiveness amid ongoing diplomatic and military measures to maintain maritime control.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa flottille de Gaza entre dans les eaux israéliennes d'ici le 31 mai ?
Oui
$149,644 Vol.
$149,644 Vol.
Oui
$149,644 Vol.
$149,644 Vol.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli naval forces have repeatedly enforced the Gaza blockade by intercepting civilian aid vessels in international waters, as seen in the April 30 raid on the Global Sumud Flotilla near Crete that disabled multiple boats and detained over 175 activists. A regrouped fleet of more than 50 vessels departed southern Turkey on May 14 to resume the mission, yet historical precedent shows such attempts consistently halted before reaching Israeli territorial waters. Traders assign 62.5% probability to the flotilla failing to enter those waters by the May 31 deadline, reflecting the blockade's sustained operational effectiveness amid ongoing diplomatic and military measures to maintain maritime control.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes