The market's 100% implied probability on 24°C as Ankara's daily maximum reflects finalized observational data from official Turkish meteorological stations, including Esenboğa Airport records confirming the peak under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds. Multiple forecast models and real-time hourly readings converged on this value, consistent with late-September climatological norms for the Anatolian plateau where highs typically range 23–26°C. No significant model discrepancies or late-day surges altered the outcome. Only an improbable revision to the official station log or measurement error could shift resolution, though such adjustments are exceedingly rare once daily summaries are released.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Ankara le 19 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Ankara le 19 septembre ?
24°C 100.0%
19°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$27,491 Vol.
$27,491 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Oui
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C ou plus
Non
24°C 100.0%
19°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$27,491 Vol.
$27,491 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
$268 Vol.
Non
20°C
$163 Vol.
Non
21°C
$363 Vol.
Non
22°C
$1,087 Vol.
Non
23°C
$5,322 Vol.
Non
24°C
$7,739 Vol.
Oui
25°C
$8,469 Vol.
Non
26°C
$2,556 Vol.
Non
27°C
$1,210 Vol.
Non
28°C
$55 Vol.
Non
29°C ou plus
$261 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's 100% implied probability on 24°C as Ankara's daily maximum reflects finalized observational data from official Turkish meteorological stations, including Esenboğa Airport records confirming the peak under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds. Multiple forecast models and real-time hourly readings converged on this value, consistent with late-September climatological norms for the Anatolian plateau where highs typically range 23–26°C. No significant model discrepancies or late-day surges altered the outcome. Only an improbable revision to the official station log or measurement error could shift resolution, though such adjustments are exceedingly rare once daily summaries are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$27,491Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's 100% implied probability on 24°C as Ankara's daily maximum reflects finalized observational data from official Turkish meteorological stations, including Esenboğa Airport records confirming the peak under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds. Multiple forecast models and real-time hourly readings converged on this value, consistent with late-September climatological norms for the Anatolian plateau where highs typically range 23–26°C. No significant model discrepancies or late-day surges altered the outcome. Only an improbable revision to the official station log or measurement error could shift resolution, though such adjustments are exceedingly rare once daily summaries are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,491Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The market's 100% implied probability on 24°C as Ankara's daily maximum reflects finalized observational data from official Turkish meteorological stations, including Esenboğa Airport records confirming the peak under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds. Multiple forecast models and real-time hourly readings converged on this value, consistent with late-September climatological norms for the Anatolian plateau where highs typically range 23–26°C. No significant model discrepancies or late-day surges altered the outcome. Only an improbable revision to the official station log or measurement error could shift resolution, though such adjustments are exceedingly rare once daily summaries are released.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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