Recent National Weather Service forecasts for central Texas show a heat wave pushing highs into the low-to-mid 90s on June 12, with Austin expected near 94–95°F under partly sunny skies and southerly flow. This drives the market’s leading 92–93°F bin at 34.5 percent, followed closely by 90–91°F, as ensemble guidance converges on values just above the June climatological average of 93°F. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that could shave 1–3°F off peak readings, versus stronger insolation that would push toward 94–95°F. Model spread and typical forecast error of ±2°F create the observed distribution across bins, with probabilities above 96°F remaining low absent rapid warming. Updated NWS guidance and new model runs will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Austin le 12 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Austin le 12 juin ?
92-93 °F 35%
90-91°F 25%
94-95°F 14%
88-89°F 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 juin 2026
81°F ou moins
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
25%
92-93 °F
35%
94-95°F
14%
96-97°F
13%
98-99°F
4%
100°F ou plus
1%
92-93 °F 35%
90-91°F 25%
94-95°F 14%
88-89°F 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 juin 2026
81°F ou moins
$103 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$96 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$160 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$132 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$7 Vol.
14%
90-91°F
$80 Vol.
25%
92-93 °F
$132 Vol.
35%
94-95°F
$22 Vol.
14%
96-97°F
$7 Vol.
13%
98-99°F
$55 Vol.
4%
100°F ou plus
$42 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for central Texas show a heat wave pushing highs into the low-to-mid 90s on June 12, with Austin expected near 94–95°F under partly sunny skies and southerly flow. This drives the market’s leading 92–93°F bin at 34.5 percent, followed closely by 90–91°F, as ensemble guidance converges on values just above the June climatological average of 93°F. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that could shave 1–3°F off peak readings, versus stronger insolation that would push toward 94–95°F. Model spread and typical forecast error of ±2°F create the observed distribution across bins, with probabilities above 96°F remaining low absent rapid warming. Updated NWS guidance and new model runs will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$826Date de fin
12 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for central Texas show a heat wave pushing highs into the low-to-mid 90s on June 12, with Austin expected near 94–95°F under partly sunny skies and southerly flow. This drives the market’s leading 92–93°F bin at 34.5 percent, followed closely by 90–91°F, as ensemble guidance converges on values just above the June climatological average of 93°F. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that could shave 1–3°F off peak readings, versus stronger insolation that would push toward 94–95°F. Model spread and typical forecast error of ±2°F create the observed distribution across bins, with probabilities above 96°F remaining low absent rapid warming. Updated NWS guidance and new model runs will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$826Date de fin
12 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for central Texas show a heat wave pushing highs into the low-to-mid 90s on June 12, with Austin expected near 94–95°F under partly sunny skies and southerly flow. This drives the market’s leading 92–93°F bin at 34.5 percent, followed closely by 90–91°F, as ensemble guidance converges on values just above the June climatological average of 93°F. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that could shave 1–3°F off peak readings, versus stronger insolation that would push toward 94–95°F. Model spread and typical forecast error of ±2°F create the observed distribution across bins, with probabilities above 96°F remaining low absent rapid warming. Updated NWS guidance and new model runs will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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