Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a daytime maximum of 14°C on June 11 under fine conditions and moderate southerly flow, aligning with the market’s dominant 14°C outcome at 78.5% implied probability. This reflects typical early-winter synoptic patterns across the lower North Island, where near-average temperatures prevail according to NIWA’s seasonal outlook. Historical June highs in Wellington cluster around 13–14°C, with limited potential for 15°C under stronger northerly influences or clearer skies, supporting the secondary 23% probability on that outcome. Model consensus shows low variability, keeping higher or lower extremes below 2% combined as current observations and guidance favor stable, mild winter conditions without significant frontal systems.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
14°C 83%
15°C 18%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
NOUVEAU
$46,602 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$46,602 Vol.
11 juin 2026
8°C ou moins
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
83%
15°C
18%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou plus
<1%
14°C 83%
15°C 18%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
NOUVEAU
$46,602 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$46,602 Vol.
11 juin 2026
8°C ou moins
$317 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,743 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,390 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$6,095 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$15,901 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$7,270 Vol.
83%
15°C
$5,799 Vol.
18%
16°C
$7,018 Vol.
1%
17°C
$3,642 Vol.
<1%
18°C ou plus
$615 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a daytime maximum of 14°C on June 11 under fine conditions and moderate southerly flow, aligning with the market’s dominant 14°C outcome at 78.5% implied probability. This reflects typical early-winter synoptic patterns across the lower North Island, where near-average temperatures prevail according to NIWA’s seasonal outlook. Historical June highs in Wellington cluster around 13–14°C, with limited potential for 15°C under stronger northerly influences or clearer skies, supporting the secondary 23% probability on that outcome. Model consensus shows low variability, keeping higher or lower extremes below 2% combined as current observations and guidance favor stable, mild winter conditions without significant frontal systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$46,602Date de fin
11 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a daytime maximum of 14°C on June 11 under fine conditions and moderate southerly flow, aligning with the market’s dominant 14°C outcome at 78.5% implied probability. This reflects typical early-winter synoptic patterns across the lower North Island, where near-average temperatures prevail according to NIWA’s seasonal outlook. Historical June highs in Wellington cluster around 13–14°C, with limited potential for 15°C under stronger northerly influences or clearer skies, supporting the secondary 23% probability on that outcome. Model consensus shows low variability, keeping higher or lower extremes below 2% combined as current observations and guidance favor stable, mild winter conditions without significant frontal systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46,602Date de fin
11 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a daytime maximum of 14°C on June 11 under fine conditions and moderate southerly flow, aligning with the market’s dominant 14°C outcome at 78.5% implied probability. This reflects typical early-winter synoptic patterns across the lower North Island, where near-average temperatures prevail according to NIWA’s seasonal outlook. Historical June highs in Wellington cluster around 13–14°C, with limited potential for 15°C under stronger northerly influences or clearer skies, supporting the secondary 23% probability on that outcome. Model consensus shows low variability, keeping higher or lower extremes below 2% combined as current observations and guidance favor stable, mild winter conditions without significant frontal systems.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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