The near-certain 100% market-implied probability on 78–79°F reflects the official high of 79°F recorded at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on June 10, 2026, per National Weather Service observations. Clear skies and a dry, warming air mass suppressed the typical June marine layer and coastal fog, allowing daytime temperatures to exceed the 67–70°F seasonal average under light westerly flow. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service forecasts issued in the preceding days projecting a high near 75–77°F that verified slightly warmer amid stable high pressure. Resolution hinges on the finalized Climatological Report (Daily) from the primary recording station; minor adjustments in post-processing or use of an alternate site remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence from current data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 10?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 10?
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$84,970 Vol.
$84,970 Vol.
10 juin 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$84,970 Vol.
$84,970 Vol.
10 juin 2026
71°F or below
$9,543 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$8,245 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$7,528 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$12,572 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$13,678 Vol.
Yes
80-81°F
$14,725 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$11,933 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$1,705 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$918 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$2,707 Vol.
No
90°F or higher
$1,416 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The near-certain 100% market-implied probability on 78–79°F reflects the official high of 79°F recorded at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on June 10, 2026, per National Weather Service observations. Clear skies and a dry, warming air mass suppressed the typical June marine layer and coastal fog, allowing daytime temperatures to exceed the 67–70°F seasonal average under light westerly flow. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service forecasts issued in the preceding days projecting a high near 75–77°F that verified slightly warmer amid stable high pressure. Resolution hinges on the finalized Climatological Report (Daily) from the primary recording station; minor adjustments in post-processing or use of an alternate site remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence from current data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 8, 2026, 10:14 PM ET
Volume
$84,970Date de fin
10 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 8, 2026, 10:14 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The near-certain 100% market-implied probability on 78–79°F reflects the official high of 79°F recorded at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on June 10, 2026, per National Weather Service observations. Clear skies and a dry, warming air mass suppressed the typical June marine layer and coastal fog, allowing daytime temperatures to exceed the 67–70°F seasonal average under light westerly flow. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service forecasts issued in the preceding days projecting a high near 75–77°F that verified slightly warmer amid stable high pressure. Resolution hinges on the finalized Climatological Report (Daily) from the primary recording station; minor adjustments in post-processing or use of an alternate site remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence from current data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$84,970Date de fin
10 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 8, 2026, 10:14 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The near-certain 100% market-implied probability on 78–79°F reflects the official high of 79°F recorded at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on June 10, 2026, per National Weather Service observations. Clear skies and a dry, warming air mass suppressed the typical June marine layer and coastal fog, allowing daytime temperatures to exceed the 67–70°F seasonal average under light westerly flow. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service forecasts issued in the preceding days projecting a high near 75–77°F that verified slightly warmer amid stable high pressure. Resolution hinges on the finalized Climatological Report (Daily) from the primary recording station; minor adjustments in post-processing or use of an alternate site remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence from current data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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