Current model guidance for Panama City points to a peak temperature of 33–34 °C on June 12, consistent with the closely bunched market-implied probabilities. June marks the onset of the Pacific-side rainy season, when abundant low-level moisture and daytime heating typically trigger scattered afternoon convection that limits maximum temperatures. Historical INAMHI records show mean June highs near 30–31 °C, with daily values commonly ranging 29–33 °C depending on cloud-cover timing and sea-breeze strength. Ensemble forecasts currently favor modest subsidence and partial clearing during peak heating hours, supporting the slight edge for 34 °C while leaving room for 35 °C if convection develops later than expected. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Panama City le 12 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Panama City le 12 juin ?
34°C 33%
33°C 29%
35°C 18.4%
32°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 juin 2026
28°C ou moins
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
15%
33°C
29%
34°C
33%
35°C
18%
36°C
8%
37°C
1%
38 °C ou plus
<1%
34°C 33%
33°C 29%
35°C 18.4%
32°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 juin 2026
28°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$141 Vol.
1%
30°C
$191 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
9%
32°C
$0 Vol.
15%
33°C
$48 Vol.
29%
34°C
$0 Vol.
33%
35°C
$0 Vol.
18%
36°C
$5 Vol.
8%
37°C
$53 Vol.
1%
38 °C ou plus
$294 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model guidance for Panama City points to a peak temperature of 33–34 °C on June 12, consistent with the closely bunched market-implied probabilities. June marks the onset of the Pacific-side rainy season, when abundant low-level moisture and daytime heating typically trigger scattered afternoon convection that limits maximum temperatures. Historical INAMHI records show mean June highs near 30–31 °C, with daily values commonly ranging 29–33 °C depending on cloud-cover timing and sea-breeze strength. Ensemble forecasts currently favor modest subsidence and partial clearing during peak heating hours, supporting the slight edge for 34 °C while leaving room for 35 °C if convection develops later than expected. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 10, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
Volume
$695Date de fin
12 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2026, 9:08 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model guidance for Panama City points to a peak temperature of 33–34 °C on June 12, consistent with the closely bunched market-implied probabilities. June marks the onset of the Pacific-side rainy season, when abundant low-level moisture and daytime heating typically trigger scattered afternoon convection that limits maximum temperatures. Historical INAMHI records show mean June highs near 30–31 °C, with daily values commonly ranging 29–33 °C depending on cloud-cover timing and sea-breeze strength. Ensemble forecasts currently favor modest subsidence and partial clearing during peak heating hours, supporting the slight edge for 34 °C while leaving room for 35 °C if convection develops later than expected. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$695Date de fin
12 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2026, 9:08 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current model guidance for Panama City points to a peak temperature of 33–34 °C on June 12, consistent with the closely bunched market-implied probabilities. June marks the onset of the Pacific-side rainy season, when abundant low-level moisture and daytime heating typically trigger scattered afternoon convection that limits maximum temperatures. Historical INAMHI records show mean June highs near 30–31 °C, with daily values commonly ranging 29–33 °C depending on cloud-cover timing and sea-breeze strength. Ensemble forecasts currently favor modest subsidence and partial clearing during peak heating hours, supporting the slight edge for 34 °C while leaving room for 35 °C if convection develops later than expected. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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