Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, indicate a maximum temperature near 11–12 °C in Buenos Aires on July 4, driven by persistent overcast conditions and southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. These factors limit daytime solar heating and keep surface temperatures below the July climatological average of 13–15 °C. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains modest given the proximity to the event, primarily tied to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; traders appear to weight outcomes accordingly, with the heaviest volume on 11 °C and 12 °C reflecting model consensus while allowing modest probability for 10 °C or 13 °C if conditions shift.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 4?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 4?
11°C 43%
10°C 35%
12°C 21%
9°C 3.0%
NOUVEAU
$16,780 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$16,780 Vol.
4 juil. 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
35%
11°C
43%
12°C
21%
13°C
3%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
11°C 43%
10°C 35%
12°C 21%
9°C 3.0%
NOUVEAU
$16,780 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$16,780 Vol.
4 juil. 2026
6°C or below
$985 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$1,032 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,048 Vol.
1%
9°C
$600 Vol.
3%
10°C
$1,188 Vol.
35%
11°C
$3,549 Vol.
43%
12°C
$5,031 Vol.
21%
13°C
$1,092 Vol.
3%
14°C
$916 Vol.
1%
15°C
$459 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$881 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, indicate a maximum temperature near 11–12 °C in Buenos Aires on July 4, driven by persistent overcast conditions and southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. These factors limit daytime solar heating and keep surface temperatures below the July climatological average of 13–15 °C. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains modest given the proximity to the event, primarily tied to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; traders appear to weight outcomes accordingly, with the heaviest volume on 11 °C and 12 °C reflecting model consensus while allowing modest probability for 10 °C or 13 °C if conditions shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 2, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$16,780Date de fin
4 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 2, 2026, 9:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, indicate a maximum temperature near 11–12 °C in Buenos Aires on July 4, driven by persistent overcast conditions and southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. These factors limit daytime solar heating and keep surface temperatures below the July climatological average of 13–15 °C. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains modest given the proximity to the event, primarily tied to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; traders appear to weight outcomes accordingly, with the heaviest volume on 11 °C and 12 °C reflecting model consensus while allowing modest probability for 10 °C or 13 °C if conditions shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,780Date de fin
4 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 2, 2026, 9:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, indicate a maximum temperature near 11–12 °C in Buenos Aires on July 4, driven by persistent overcast conditions and southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. These factors limit daytime solar heating and keep surface temperatures below the July climatological average of 13–15 °C. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains modest given the proximity to the event, primarily tied to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; traders appear to weight outcomes accordingly, with the heaviest volume on 11 °C and 12 °C reflecting model consensus while allowing modest probability for 10 °C or 13 °C if conditions shift.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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