Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate maximum temperatures in Istanbul on May 22 will most likely peak between 18°C and 21°C, reflecting a mild spring pattern with light cloud cover and possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This consensus aligns closely with May climatological averages of 20–22°C for the region while acknowledging model spread from variable sea-breeze influences along the Bosphorus. Traders have concentrated volume on the 19°C and 20°C outcomes because these thresholds best match the current guidance and historical analogs for late-May conditions, with resolution depending on the official daily maximum recorded by Turkish State Meteorological Service stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 22?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 22?
20°C 28%
19°C 26%
18°C 19%
21°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 mai 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
19%
19°C
26%
20°C
28%
21°C
18%
22°C
7%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 28%
19°C 26%
18°C 19%
21°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 mai 2026
14°C or below
$72 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$45 Vol.
2%
16°C
$1,005 Vol.
1%
17°C
$61 Vol.
3%
18°C
$47 Vol.
19%
19°C
$48 Vol.
26%
20°C
$59 Vol.
28%
21°C
$104 Vol.
18%
22°C
$42 Vol.
7%
23°C
$32 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$30 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate maximum temperatures in Istanbul on May 22 will most likely peak between 18°C and 21°C, reflecting a mild spring pattern with light cloud cover and possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This consensus aligns closely with May climatological averages of 20–22°C for the region while acknowledging model spread from variable sea-breeze influences along the Bosphorus. Traders have concentrated volume on the 19°C and 20°C outcomes because these thresholds best match the current guidance and historical analogs for late-May conditions, with resolution depending on the official daily maximum recorded by Turkish State Meteorological Service stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 20, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$1,544Date de fin
22 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 20, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate maximum temperatures in Istanbul on May 22 will most likely peak between 18°C and 21°C, reflecting a mild spring pattern with light cloud cover and possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This consensus aligns closely with May climatological averages of 20–22°C for the region while acknowledging model spread from variable sea-breeze influences along the Bosphorus. Traders have concentrated volume on the 19°C and 20°C outcomes because these thresholds best match the current guidance and historical analogs for late-May conditions, with resolution depending on the official daily maximum recorded by Turkish State Meteorological Service stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,544Date de fin
22 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 20, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate maximum temperatures in Istanbul on May 22 will most likely peak between 18°C and 21°C, reflecting a mild spring pattern with light cloud cover and possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This consensus aligns closely with May climatological averages of 20–22°C for the region while acknowledging model spread from variable sea-breeze influences along the Bosphorus. Traders have concentrated volume on the 19°C and 20°C outcomes because these thresholds best match the current guidance and historical analogs for late-May conditions, with resolution depending on the official daily maximum recorded by Turkish State Meteorological Service stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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