Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers point to a daytime high in Warsaw on May 22 of 22–23 °C, driven by a northwesterly flow of mild Atlantic air under partly cloudy skies. This setup favors modest daytime heating with limited moisture for cloud formation, keeping maximum temperatures from climbing higher while preventing significant cooling from overnight radiational losses. Model spreads arise mainly from subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness and wind speeds during peak insolation hours, which can shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 20 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with the tightly matched market probabilities around the 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 22?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 22?
22°C 41%
23°C 36%
24°C 12%
21°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 mai 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
10%
22°C
41%
23°C
36%
24°C
12%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 41%
23°C 36%
24°C 12%
21°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 mai 2026
16°C or below
$25 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$34 Vol.
1%
20°C
$39 Vol.
4%
21°C
$125 Vol.
10%
22°C
$215 Vol.
41%
23°C
$176 Vol.
36%
24°C
$47 Vol.
12%
25°C
$10 Vol.
2%
26°C or higher
$98 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers point to a daytime high in Warsaw on May 22 of 22–23 °C, driven by a northwesterly flow of mild Atlantic air under partly cloudy skies. This setup favors modest daytime heating with limited moisture for cloud formation, keeping maximum temperatures from climbing higher while preventing significant cooling from overnight radiational losses. Model spreads arise mainly from subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness and wind speeds during peak insolation hours, which can shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 20 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with the tightly matched market probabilities around the 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 20, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volume
$1,026Date de fin
22 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 20, 2026, 12:37 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers point to a daytime high in Warsaw on May 22 of 22–23 °C, driven by a northwesterly flow of mild Atlantic air under partly cloudy skies. This setup favors modest daytime heating with limited moisture for cloud formation, keeping maximum temperatures from climbing higher while preventing significant cooling from overnight radiational losses. Model spreads arise mainly from subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness and wind speeds during peak insolation hours, which can shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 20 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with the tightly matched market probabilities around the 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,026Date de fin
22 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 20, 2026, 12:37 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers point to a daytime high in Warsaw on May 22 of 22–23 °C, driven by a northwesterly flow of mild Atlantic air under partly cloudy skies. This setup favors modest daytime heating with limited moisture for cloud formation, keeping maximum temperatures from climbing higher while preventing significant cooling from overnight radiational losses. Model spreads arise mainly from subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness and wind speeds during peak insolation hours, which can shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 20 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with the tightly matched market probabilities around the 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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