Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project a daytime high near 26°C for Mexico City on May 22, driven by typical late-spring atmospheric conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns with the historical May average high of 26–27°C recorded by long-term climatological data, placing the 24°C-or-higher outcome at a 92.5% market-implied probability. Model consensus shows limited variability, though brief cloud cover or localized showers could modestly suppress the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 22?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 22?
24°C or higher 91%
23°C 3.6%
22°C 1.6%
21°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 mai 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C or higher
91%
24°C or higher 91%
23°C 3.6%
22°C 1.6%
21°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 mai 2026
14°C or below
$209 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$307 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$30 Vol.
1%
21°C
$126 Vol.
1%
22°C
$48 Vol.
2%
23°C
$20 Vol.
4%
24°C or higher
$151 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project a daytime high near 26°C for Mexico City on May 22, driven by typical late-spring atmospheric conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns with the historical May average high of 26–27°C recorded by long-term climatological data, placing the 24°C-or-higher outcome at a 92.5% market-implied probability. Model consensus shows limited variability, though brief cloud cover or localized showers could modestly suppress the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 20, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Volume
$1,206Date de fin
22 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 20, 2026, 12:35 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project a daytime high near 26°C for Mexico City on May 22, driven by typical late-spring atmospheric conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns with the historical May average high of 26–27°C recorded by long-term climatological data, placing the 24°C-or-higher outcome at a 92.5% market-implied probability. Model consensus shows limited variability, though brief cloud cover or localized showers could modestly suppress the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,206Date de fin
22 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 20, 2026, 12:35 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project a daytime high near 26°C for Mexico City on May 22, driven by typical late-spring atmospheric conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns with the historical May average high of 26–27°C recorded by long-term climatological data, placing the 24°C-or-higher outcome at a 92.5% market-implied probability. Model consensus shows limited variability, though brief cloud cover or localized showers could modestly suppress the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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