Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 32–33°C on May 22 under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. This setup has stabilized the market-implied odds, with 33°C holding a 42.5% consensus and 32°C at 32.5%, as model runs show limited variability and minimal Atlantic moisture influence. Historical late-May climatology averages closer to 25°C, underscoring the current positive anomaly. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model updates from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF, which could shift resolution if unexpected cloud cover or wind changes develop before peak heating.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Madrid on May 22?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 22?
33°C 45%
32°C 30%
34°C 13%
31°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 mai 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
10%
32°C
30%
33°C
45%
34°C
13%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 30%
34°C 13%
31°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 mai 2026
27°C or below
$169 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$433 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$301 Vol.
1%
30°C
$205 Vol.
1%
31°C
$690 Vol.
10%
32°C
$609 Vol.
30%
33°C
$848 Vol.
45%
34°C
$331 Vol.
13%
35°C
$222 Vol.
4%
36°C
$157 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$144 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 32–33°C on May 22 under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. This setup has stabilized the market-implied odds, with 33°C holding a 42.5% consensus and 32°C at 32.5%, as model runs show limited variability and minimal Atlantic moisture influence. Historical late-May climatology averages closer to 25°C, underscoring the current positive anomaly. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model updates from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF, which could shift resolution if unexpected cloud cover or wind changes develop before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Volume
$4,079Date de fin
22 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 32–33°C on May 22 under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. This setup has stabilized the market-implied odds, with 33°C holding a 42.5% consensus and 32°C at 32.5%, as model runs show limited variability and minimal Atlantic moisture influence. Historical late-May climatology averages closer to 25°C, underscoring the current positive anomaly. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model updates from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF, which could shift resolution if unexpected cloud cover or wind changes develop before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,079Date de fin
22 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 32–33°C on May 22 under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. This setup has stabilized the market-implied odds, with 33°C holding a 42.5% consensus and 32°C at 32.5%, as model runs show limited variability and minimal Atlantic moisture influence. Historical late-May climatology averages closer to 25°C, underscoring the current positive anomaly. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model updates from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF, which could shift resolution if unexpected cloud cover or wind changes develop before peak heating.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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