Recent forecast updates from Chinese meteorological authorities and global models such as ECMWF and GFS project a daytime high of 27–30°C in Jinan on August 29, supported by northerly winds advecting cooler air after mid-week thunderstorms and a prior heatwave peaking near 34°C. Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation chances further moderate surface heating, aligning closely with historical late-August climatology for the region. This scientific consensus underpins the market-implied 97.5% probability for 26°C or higher. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted southerly wind reversal or rapid clearing that boosts insolation beyond current model guidance, though such changes appear unlikely within the final 24-hour window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Jinan le 29 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Jinan le 29 août ?
26°C or higher 98%
25°C 6%
24°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
98%
26°C or higher 98%
25°C 6%
24°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
16°C or below
$115 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$885 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$885 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1 Vol.
1%
25°C
$253 Vol.
6%
26°C or higher
$1,223 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from Chinese meteorological authorities and global models such as ECMWF and GFS project a daytime high of 27–30°C in Jinan on August 29, supported by northerly winds advecting cooler air after mid-week thunderstorms and a prior heatwave peaking near 34°C. Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation chances further moderate surface heating, aligning closely with historical late-August climatology for the region. This scientific consensus underpins the market-implied 97.5% probability for 26°C or higher. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted southerly wind reversal or rapid clearing that boosts insolation beyond current model guidance, though such changes appear unlikely within the final 24-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$3,917Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from Chinese meteorological authorities and global models such as ECMWF and GFS project a daytime high of 27–30°C in Jinan on August 29, supported by northerly winds advecting cooler air after mid-week thunderstorms and a prior heatwave peaking near 34°C. Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation chances further moderate surface heating, aligning closely with historical late-August climatology for the region. This scientific consensus underpins the market-implied 97.5% probability for 26°C or higher. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted southerly wind reversal or rapid clearing that boosts insolation beyond current model guidance, though such changes appear unlikely within the final 24-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,917Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from Chinese meteorological authorities and global models such as ECMWF and GFS project a daytime high of 27–30°C in Jinan on August 29, supported by northerly winds advecting cooler air after mid-week thunderstorms and a prior heatwave peaking near 34°C. Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation chances further moderate surface heating, aligning closely with historical late-August climatology for the region. This scientific consensus underpins the market-implied 97.5% probability for 26°C or higher. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted southerly wind reversal or rapid clearing that boosts insolation beyond current model guidance, though such changes appear unlikely within the final 24-hour window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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