Persistent high-pressure patterns and southerly flow have maintained unseasonably warm conditions across Shandong, with official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models projecting a September 16 high of 31–34 °C in Jinan under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s 96.5 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher, reflecting strong model consensus and recent observations of 32 °C-plus readings on September 15. Limited moisture and light southwesterly winds further support maximum temperatures well above the threshold. A rapid increase in cloud cover or an unforecast cold-air intrusion could lower readings, though current guidance assigns these outcomes low likelihood before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Jinan le 16 septembre ?
26°C ou plus 97%
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
20°C 4%
16°C ou moins
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C ou plus
97%
26°C ou plus 97%
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
20°C 4%
16°C ou moins
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C ou plus
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure patterns and southerly flow have maintained unseasonably warm conditions across Shandong, with official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models projecting a September 16 high of 31–34 °C in Jinan under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s 96.5 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher, reflecting strong model consensus and recent observations of 32 °C-plus readings on September 15. Limited moisture and light southwesterly winds further support maximum temperatures well above the threshold. A rapid increase in cloud cover or an unforecast cold-air intrusion could lower readings, though current guidance assigns these outcomes low likelihood before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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