Trader consensus favors a 23–24°C high for Mexico City on July 8 because official forecasts and ensemble models place the maximum in that narrow band amid the North American monsoon’s influence. Afternoon convective clouds and showers, common in July at 2,240 m elevation, limit peak insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping most days from exceeding the mid-20s. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which accounts for the tight spread across 22–25°C outcomes. Historical July climatology reinforces this clustering, with 22–26°C encompassing the large majority of observed daily maxima. Updated CONAGUA and global guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variable for final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 8?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 8?
24°C 31%
23°C 30%
25°C 14%
22°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 juil. 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C
30%
24°C
31%
25°C
14%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 31%
23°C 30%
25°C 14%
22°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 juil. 2026
18°C or below
$66 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$88 Vol.
1%
20°C
$271 Vol.
2%
21°C
$428 Vol.
5%
22°C
$575 Vol.
13%
23°C
$2,245 Vol.
30%
24°C
$523 Vol.
31%
25°C
$158 Vol.
14%
26°C
$270 Vol.
3%
27°C
$218 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$68 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 23–24°C high for Mexico City on July 8 because official forecasts and ensemble models place the maximum in that narrow band amid the North American monsoon’s influence. Afternoon convective clouds and showers, common in July at 2,240 m elevation, limit peak insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping most days from exceeding the mid-20s. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which accounts for the tight spread across 22–25°C outcomes. Historical July climatology reinforces this clustering, with 22–26°C encompassing the large majority of observed daily maxima. Updated CONAGUA and global guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variable for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volume
$4,909Date de fin
8 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 23–24°C high for Mexico City on July 8 because official forecasts and ensemble models place the maximum in that narrow band amid the North American monsoon’s influence. Afternoon convective clouds and showers, common in July at 2,240 m elevation, limit peak insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping most days from exceeding the mid-20s. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which accounts for the tight spread across 22–25°C outcomes. Historical July climatology reinforces this clustering, with 22–26°C encompassing the large majority of observed daily maxima. Updated CONAGUA and global guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variable for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,909Date de fin
8 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a 23–24°C high for Mexico City on July 8 because official forecasts and ensemble models place the maximum in that narrow band amid the North American monsoon’s influence. Afternoon convective clouds and showers, common in July at 2,240 m elevation, limit peak insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping most days from exceeding the mid-20s. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which accounts for the tight spread across 22–25°C outcomes. Historical July climatology reinforces this clustering, with 22–26°C encompassing the large majority of observed daily maxima. Updated CONAGUA and global guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variable for final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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